Climate change in the Arctic: causes and mechanisms

Atmospheric heat and moisture transfers from the North Atlantic make the main contribution to the Arctic warming in winter. The increase in transfer is associated with changes in atmospheric circulation in the Northern Hemisphere under the influence of the sea surface temperature (SST) in low latitudes, where the bulk of the heat influx from the Sun accumulated. The mechanism of influence includes the interaction between the circulation of the ocean and atmosphere, which enhances the oceanic heat influx into the Norwegian and Barents seas, and atmospheric transport to the Arctic. SST rises with participation of orbital-forced increase of the solar insolation. Changes in insolation are small, but their effect is enhanced by feedbacks between temperature, water vapour content and downward long-wave radiation in low latitudes. An increase in water inflow, heat and moisture transfers to the Atlantic Arctic lead to increase in air temperature, water vapour content, downward long-wave radiation, and a reduction of ice thickness growth and its extent in the Barents and Greenland Seas in winter.