Information systems of passenger transportation forecast in Transbaikal region

The paper is concerned with the qualitative assessment of socio-economic development of transport industry of the region made with a help of information systems and mathematical methods. The object of this study is a railway transportation system in Transbaikal region. The research was made on the basis of a priori and posteriori approach with the use of recessionary analysis and correlation. The research of basic trends in socio-economic development of Transbaikal region during a long period of time (10 years) comprising the periods of growth and stagnation made it possible to reveal a set of models which affects the volume of transportation. This will help to forecast a strategy of development of Transbaikal region. The article contains the results of empirical study on interconnection between a set of factors and a volume of passenger transportation in Transbaikal region.