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Forecasting the electrical energy needs in Bangka Island

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Published under licence by IOP Publishing Ltd
, , Citation R Mahendra et al 2019 IOP Conf. Ser.: Earth Environ. Sci. 353 012058 DOI 10.1088/1755-1315/353/1/012058

1755-1315/353/1/012058

Abstract

Bangka Island is one of the two largest islands in Bangka Belitung Islands Province. The total population in Bangka Island in 2018 was 1146654 persons. The growth of the population every year is accompanied by an increase in electricity demand. The increase in electricity demand is also caused by economic factors, namely GDP growth and regional development factor. By using LEAP software, forecasting of electricity needs for the year 2019-2028 are obtained. The number of electricity customers grows by an average of 1.83%/year while average growth of electricity consumption is 11.697 %/year. The total electricity production in 2028 is estimated to reach 2.47GWh with peak load of 394.07 MW. The average peak load growth during 2019-2028 is 10.48%/year. Fulfillment of electricity demand will be met by the construction of 4 new types of power plants and the addition of submarine cables from Substation Tanjung Api-Api to Substation Mentok in 2020.

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10.1088/1755-1315/353/1/012058