Using the Markov chain to predict the outcome of an election in a given situation

This paper used Markov Chain, a mathematical model that is often utilized in predicting, to forecast the result of the election process of a person in a specific circumstance. In the way of modeling, starting from the tree diagram to the model of Markov Chain and related transition matrix, this paper aimed at the election result, which relates the object of study, a specific candidate. The research data are collected from the prompt of the research question and the calculation of coding based on the transition matrix. The result is, when it is the 64^th year of that specific candidate running for the reelection campaign, he will be likely to retire from politics.