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Research on the Linkage Between the US and China Stock Markets in the Context of COVID-19 Based on the EMD Model

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Published under licence by IOP Publishing Ltd
, , Citation Yunfa Wen and Xinghua Liu 2021 J. Phys.: Conf. Ser. 1948 012169 DOI 10.1088/1742-6596/1948/1/012169

1742-6596/1948/1/012169

Abstract

Using the COVID-19 and the Sino-US trade war as the background, the data of the stock markets in China and the US from March 1, 2017 to September 11, 2020 are divided into 3 phases, and the high-frequency return series are extracted by empirical mode decomposition algorithm, excluding the interference of the medium-frequency data and low-frequency data. The DCC-GARCH model is used to analyze the China-US stock market linkage in the 3 phases, and the results show that: both the China-US trade war and the COVID-19 have a significant impact on the China-US stock market linkage. The Sino US trade war makes the linkage of Sino US stock market decline in the short term, while The COVID-19 made the relationship between China and the United States present an inverted "U" shape of first rising and then falling.

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10.1088/1742-6596/1948/1/012169