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Table of contents

Volume 254

Number 2, June 2021

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We report calculations of photoionization cross sections for hydrogen atoms in white-dwarf magnetic fields. The calculations were implemented using the adiabatic-basis-expansion method and the coupled-channel theory, which are valid for low and high magnetic fields, respectively. The magnetic fields span over a typical white-dwarf strength regime from 23.5 to 2350 MG. Lyman and Balmer continuum spectra for bound–free transitions in magnetic white-dwarf stars are presented with various field strengths. The current results are compared with those from the complex-rotation method. Excellent agreement is shown in the energy region away from Landau thresholds, but the pronounced discrepancies are found in the small vicinity below Landau thresholds. The agreement shown illustrates the reliability of these two theoretical approaches used, while the discrepancies should be attributed to the limitation of the complex-rotation method. The photoionization cross sections presented here should be applicable to the analyses of continuum spectra and their polarization properties observed in the atmospheres of hydrogen-dominated magnetic white dwarfs.

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Inference of the physical properties of stellar populations from observed photometry and spectroscopy is a key goal in the study of galaxy evolution. In recent years, the quality and quantity of the available data have increased, and there have been corresponding efforts to increase the realism of the stellar population models used to interpret these observations. Describing the observed galaxy spectral energy distributions in detail now requires physical models with a large number of highly correlated parameters. These models do not fit easily on grids and necessitate a full exploration of the available parameter space. We present Prospector, a flexible code for inferring stellar population parameters from photometry and spectroscopy spanning UV through IR wavelengths. This code is based on forward modeling the data and Monte Carlo sampling the posterior parameter distribution, enabling complex models and exploration of moderate dimensional parameter spaces. We describe the key ingredients of the code and discuss the general philosophy driving the design of these ingredients. We demonstrate some capabilities of the code on several data sets, including mock and real data.

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We present a case study of solar flare forecasting by means of metadata feature time series, by treating it as a prominent class-imbalance and temporally coherent problem. Taking full advantage of pre-flare time series in solar active regions is made possible via the Space Weather Analytics for Solar Flares (SWAN-SF) benchmark data set, a partitioned collection of multivariate time series of active region properties comprising 4075 regions and spanning over 9 yr of the Solar Dynamics Observatory period of operations. We showcase the general concept of temporal coherence triggered by the demand of continuity in time series forecasting and show that lack of proper understanding of this effect may spuriously enhance models' performance. We further address another well-known challenge in rare-event prediction, namely, the class-imbalance issue. The SWAN-SF is an appropriate data set for this, with a 60:1 imbalance ratio for GOES M- and X-class flares and an 800:1 imbalance ratio for X-class flares against flare-quiet instances. We revisit the main remedies for these challenges and present several experiments to illustrate the exact impact that each of these remedies may have on performance. Moreover, we acknowledge that some basic data manipulation tasks such as data normalization and cross validation may also impact the performance; we discuss these problems as well. In this framework we also review the primary advantages and disadvantages of using true skill statistic and Heidke skill score, two widely used performance verification metrics for the flare-forecasting task. In conclusion, we show and advocate for the benefits of time series versus point-in-time forecasting, provided that the above challenges are measurably and quantitatively addressed.

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We describe the Dark Energy Survey (DES) photometric data set assembled from the first three years of science operations to support DES Year 3 cosmologic analyses, and provide usage notes aimed at the broad astrophysics community. Y3GOLD improves on previous releases from DES, Y1GOLD, and Data Release 1 (DES DR1), presenting an expanded and curated data set that incorporates algorithmic developments in image detrending and processing, photometric calibration, and object classification. Y3GOLD comprises nearly 5000 deg2 of grizY imaging in the south Galactic cap, including nearly 390 million objects, with depth reaching a signal-to-noise ratio ∼10 for extended objects up to iAB ∼ 23.0, and top-of-the-atmosphere photometric uniformity <3 mmag. Compared to DR1, photometric residuals with respect to Gaia are reduced by 50%, and per-object chromatic corrections are introduced. Y3GOLD augments DES DR1 with simultaneous fits to multi-epoch photometry for more robust galactic color measurements and corresponding photometric redshift estimates. Y3GOLD features improved morphological star–galaxy classification with efficiency >98% and purity >99% for galaxies with 19 < iAB < 22.5. Additionally, it includes per-object quality information, and accompanying maps of the footprint coverage, masked regions, imaging depth, survey conditions, and astrophysical foregrounds that are used to select the cosmologic analysis samples.

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We present a detailed analysis of the behavior of the triaxial Schwarzschild orbit superposition method near the axisymmetric limit. Orbit superposition modeling is the primary method used to determine dynamical masses of supermassive black holes (MBH) in nearby galaxies; however, prior studies have reported conflicting results when comparing the outcome from axisymmetric orbit codes with that from a triaxial orbit code in the axisymmetric limit. We show that in order to achieve (oblate) axisymmetry in a triaxial code, care needs to be taken to axisymmetrize the short-axis tube orbits and to exclude both the long-axis tube and box orbits from the orbit library. Using up to 12 Gauss–Hermite moments of the line-of-sight velocity distributions as constraints, we demonstrate the effects of orbit types on the best-fit MBH in orbit modeling of the massive elliptical galaxy NGC 1453 reported in Liepold et al. In addition, we verify the efficacy of our updated code on a mock galaxy data set. We identify a subset of slowly precessing quasi-planar orbits for which the typical integration times can be insufficient to fully capture the equilibrium orbital behavior in both axisymmetric and triaxial systems with central black holes. Further investigation is needed for a more reliable treatment of these orbits.

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As a follow-up to the optical spectroscopic campaign aimed at achieving completeness in the Third Catalog of Hard Fermi-LAT Sources (3FHL), we present here the results of a sample of 28 blazars of an uncertain type observed using the 4 m telescope at Cerro Tololo Inter-American Observatory in Chile. Out of these 28 sources, we find that 25 are BL Lacertae objects (BL Lacs) and 3 are flat-spectrum radio quasars (FSRQs). We measure redshifts or lower limits for 16 of these blazars, and it is observed that the 12 remaining blazars have featureless optical spectra. These results are part of a more extended optical spectroscopy follow-up campaign for 3FHL blazars, where, until now, 51 blazars of an uncertain type have been classified into BL Lac and FSRQ categories. Furthermore, this campaign has resulted in redshift measurements and lower limits for 15 of these sources. Our results contribute toward attaining a complete sample of blazars above 10 GeV, which then will be crucial in extending our knowledge on blazar emission mechanisms and the extragalactic background light.

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There have been many studies aiming to reveal the origins of the star–gas misalignment found in galaxies, but there still is a lack of understanding of the contribution from each formation channel candidate. We aim to answer the question by investigating the misaligned galaxies in the Horizon-AGN simulation. There are 27,903 galaxies of stellar mass M* > 1010M in our sample, of which 5984 are in a group in the halo mass of M200 > 1012M. We have identified four main formation channels of misalignment and quantified their levels of contribution: mergers (35%), interaction with nearby galaxies (23%), interaction with dense environments or their central galaxies (21%), and secular evolution, including smooth accretion from neighboring filaments (21%). We found in the simulation that the gas, rather than stars, is typically more vulnerable to dynamical disturbances; hence, misalignment formation is mainly due to the change in the rotational axis of the gas rather than stars, regardless of the origin. We have also inspected the lifetime (duration) of the misalignment. The decay timescale of the misalignment shows a strong anticorrelation with the kinematic morphology (V/σ) and the cold gas fraction of the galaxy. The misalignment has a longer lifetime in denser regions, which is linked with the environmental impact on the host galaxy. There is a substantial difference in the length of the misalignment lifetime depending on the origin, and it can be explained by the magnitude of the initial position angle offset and the physical properties of the galaxies.

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The Green Bank Telescope (GBT) Diffuse Ionized Gas Survey (GDIGS) traces ionized gas in the Galactic midplane by measuring 4–8 GHz radio recombination line (RRL) emission. The nominal survey zone is 32fdg3 > > − 5°, ∣b∣ < 0fdg5, but coverage extends above and below the plane in select fields and additionally includes the areas around W47 ( ≃ 37fdg5) and W49 ( ≃ 43°). GDIGS simultaneously observes 22 Hnα (15 usable), 25 Hnβ (18 usable), and 8 Hnγ RRLs (all usable), as well as multiple molecular line transitions (including those of ${{\rm{H}}}_{2}^{13}\mathrm{CO}$, H2CO, and CH3OH). Here, we describe the GDIGS survey parameters and characterize the RRL data, focusing primarily on the Hnα data. We produce sensitive data cubes by averaging the usable RRLs, after first smoothing to a common spectral resolution of 0.5 km s−1 and a spatial resolution of 2farcm65 for Hnα, 2farcm62 for Hnβ, and 2farcm09 for Hnγ. The average spectral noise per spaxel in the Hnα data cubes is ∼10 mK (∼5 mJy beam−1). This sensitivity allows GDIGS to detect RRLs from plasma throughout the inner Galaxy. The GDIGS Hnα data are sensitive to emission measures EM ≳ 1100 cm−6 pc, which corresponds to a mean electron density 〈ne〉 ≳ 30 cm−3 for a 1 pc path length or 〈ne〉 ≳ 1 cm−3 for a 1 kpc path length.

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In this paper, we propose a new Monte Carlo radiative transport (MCRT) scheme, which is based completely on the Neumann series solution of the Fredholm integral equation. This scheme indicates that the essence of MCRT is the calculation of infinite terms of multiple integrals in the Neumann solution simultaneously. Under this perspective, we redescribe the MCRT procedure systematically, in which the main work amounts to choosing an associated probability distribution function for a set of random variables and the corresponding unbiased estimation functions. We select a relatively optimal estimation procedure that has a lower variance from an infinite number of possible choices, such as term-by-term estimation. In this scheme, MCRT can be regarded as a pure problem of integral evaluation, rather than as the tracing of random-walking photons. Keeping this in mind, one can avert some subtle intuitive mistakes. In addition, the δ functions in these integrals can be eliminated in advance by integrating them out directly. This fact, together with the optimal chosen random variables, can remarkably improve the Monte Carlo (MC) computational efficiency and accuracy, especially in systems with axial or spherical symmetry. An MCRT code, Lemon (Linear integral Equations' Monte carlo solver based On the Neumann solution; the code is available on the GitHub codebase at https://github.com/yangxiaolinyn/Lemon, and version 2.0 is archived on Zenodo at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.4686355), has been developed completely based on this scheme. Finally, we intend to verify the validation of Lemon; a suite of test problems mainly restricted to a flat spacetime has been reproduced, and the corresponding results are illustrated in detail.

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One-side head–tail (OHT) galaxies are radio galaxies with a peculiar shape. They usually appear in galaxy clusters, but they have never been cataloged systematically. We design an automatic procedure to search for them in the Faint Images of the Radio Sky at Twenty-Centimeters source catalog and compile a sample with 115 HT candidates. After cross-checking with the Sloan Digital Sky Survey photometric data and catalogs of galaxy clusters, we find that 69 of them are possible OHT galaxies. Most of them are close to the center of galaxy clusters. The lengths of their tails do not correlate with the projection distance to the center of the nearest galaxy clusters, but show weak anticorrelation with the cluster richness, and are inversely proportional to the radial velocity differences between clusters and host galaxies. Our catalog provides a unique sample to study this special type of radio galaxies.

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The Milky Way's metal-poor stars are nearby ancient objects that are used to study early chemical evolution and the assembly and structure of the Milky Way. Here we present reliable metallicities of ∼280,000 stars with −3.75 ≲ [Fe/H] ≲ −0.75 down to g = 17 derived using metallicity-sensitive photometry from the second data release of the SkyMapper Southern Survey. We use the dependency of the flux through the SkyMapper v filter on the strength of the Ca ii K absorption features, in tandem with SkyMapper u, g, i photometry, to derive photometric metallicities for these stars. We find that metallicities derived in this way compare well to metallicities derived in large-scale spectroscopic surveys, and we use such comparisons to calibrate and quantify systematics as a function of location, reddening, and color. We find good agreement with metallicities from the APOGEE, LAMOST, and GALAH surveys, based on a standard deviation of σ ∼ 0.25 dex of the residuals of our photometric metallicities with respect to metallicities from those surveys. We also compare our derived photometric metallicities to metallicities presented in a number of high-resolution spectroscopic studies to validate the low-metallicity end ([Fe/H] < −2.5) of our photometric metallicity determinations. In such comparisons, we find the metallicities of stars with photometric [Fe/H] < −2.5 in our catalog show no significant offset and a scatter of σ ∼ 0.31 dex level relative to those in high-resolution work when considering the cooler stars (gi > 0.65) in our sample. We also present an expanded catalog containing photometric metallicities of ∼720,000 stars as a data table for further exploration of the metal-poor Milky Way.

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A Full Solar Cycle of Interstellar Boundary Explorer (IBEX) Observations

In this study, we estimate the heliospheric termination shock (HTS) compression ratio at multiple directions in the sky from a quantitative comparison of the observed and simulated inner heliosheath (IHS) energetic neutral atom (ENA) fluxes. We use a 3D steady-state simulation of the heliosphere to simulate the ENA fluxes by postprocessing the MHD plasma using a multi-Maxwellian distribution for protons in the IHS. The simulated ENA fluxes are compared with time exposure–averaged IBEX-Hi data for the first 3 yr of the mission. The quantitative comparison is performed by calculating the fractional difference in the spectral slope between the observed and simulated ENA fluxes for a range of compression ratios, where the simulated ENA spectrum is varied as a function of downstream pickup ion temperature as a function of compression ratio. The estimated compression ratio in a particular direction is determined by the minimum value of the fractional difference in spectral slope. Our study shows that the compression ratio estimated by this method is in close agreement with the large-scale compression ratio observed by Voyager 2 in its travel direction. Also, the compression ratio in other directions near the ecliptic plane is similar to the compression ratio at the Voyager 2 direction. The weakest shock compression is found to be on the port side of the heliosphere at direction (27°, 15°). This is the first study to estimate the HTS compression ratio at multiple directions in the sky from IBEX data.

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We present ∼120,000 Spitzer/IRAC candidate young stellar objects (YSOs) based on surveys of the Galactic midplane between ∼ 255° and 110°, including the GLIMPSE I, II, and 3D, Vela-Carina, Cygnus X, and SMOG surveys (613 square degrees), augmented by near-infrared catalogs. We employed a classification scheme that uses the flexibility of a tailored statistical learning method and curated YSO data sets to take full advantage of Spitzer's spatial resolution and sensitivity in the mid-infrared ∼3–9 μm range. Multiwavelength color/magnitude distributions provide intuition about how the classifier separates YSOs from other red IRAC sources and validate that the sample is consistent with expectations for disk/envelope-bearing pre–main-sequence stars. We also identify areas of IRAC color space associated with objects with strong silicate absorption or polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbon emission. Spatial distributions and variability properties help corroborate the youthful nature of our sample. Most of the candidates are in regions with mid-IR nebulosity, associated with star-forming clouds, but others appear distributed in the field. Using Gaia DR2 distance estimates, we find groups of YSO candidates associated with the Local Arm, the Sagittarius–Carina Arm, and the Scutum–Centaurus Arm. Candidate YSOs visible to the Zwicky Transient Facility tend to exhibit higher variability amplitudes than randomly selected field stars of the same magnitude, with many high-amplitude variables having light-curve morphologies characteristic of YSOs. Given that no current or planned instruments will significantly exceed IRAC's spatial resolution while possessing its wide-area mapping capabilities, Spitzer-based catalogs such as ours will remain the main resources for mid-infrared YSOs in the Galactic midplane for the near future.

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Stellar, substellar, and planetary atmosphere models are all highly sensitive to the input opacities. Generational differences between various state-of-the-art stellar/planetary models arise primarily because of incomplete and outdated atomic/molecular line lists. Here we present a database of precomputed absorption cross sections for all isotopologues of key atmospheric molecules relevant to late-type stellar, brown dwarf, and planetary atmospheres: MgH, AlH, CaH, TiH, CrH, FeH, SiO, TiO, VO, and H2O. The pressure and temperature ranges of the computed opacities are 10−6–3000 bar and 75–4000 K, and their spectral ranges are 0.25–330 μm for many cases where possible. For cases with no pressure-broadening data, we use collision theory to bridge the gap. We also probe the effect of absorption cross sections calculated from different line lists in the context of ultrahot Jupiter and M-dwarf atmospheres. Using 1D self-consistent radiative–convective thermochemical equilibrium models, we report significant variations in the theoretical spectra and thermal profiles of substellar atmospheres. With a 2000 K representative ultrahot Jupiter, we report variations of up to 320 and 80 ppm in transmission and thermal emission spectra, respectively. For a 3000 K M-dwarf, we find differences of up to 125% in the spectra. We find that the most significant differences arise as a result of the choice of TiO line lists, primarily below 1 μm. In summary, (1) we present a database of precomputed molecular absorption cross sections, and (2) we quantify biases that arise when characterizing substellar/exoplanet atmospheres as a result of differences in the line lists, therefore highlighting the importance of correct and complete opacities for eventual applications to high-precision spectroscopy and photometry.

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Gamma-ray bursts (GRBs) are highly variable and exhibit strong spectral evolution. In particular, the emission properties vary from pulse to pulse in multipulse bursts. Here we present a time-resolved Bayesian spectral analysis of a compilation of GRB pulses observed by the Fermi/Gamma-ray Burst Monitor. The pulses are selected to have at least four time bins with a high statistical significance, which ensures that the spectral fits are well determined and spectral correlations can be established. The sample consists of 39 bursts, 117 pulses, and 1228 spectra. We confirm the general trend that pulses become softer over time, with mainly the low-energy power-law index α becoming smaller. A few exceptions to this trend exist, with the hardest pulse occurring at late times. The first pulse in a burst is clearly different from the later pulses; three-fourths of them violate the synchrotron line of death, while around half of them significantly prefer photospheric emission. These fractions decrease for subsequent pulses. We also find that in two-thirds of the pulses, the spectral parameters (α and peak energy) track the light-curve variations. This is a larger fraction compared to what is found in previous samples. In conclusion, emission compatible with the GRB photosphere is typically found close to the trigger time, while the chance of detecting synchrotron emission is greatest at late times. This allows for the coexistence of emission mechanisms at late times.

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The Southern H ii Region Discovery Survey (SHRDS) is a 900 hr Australia Telescope Compact Array 4–10 GHz radio continuum and radio recombination line (RRL) survey of Galactic H ii regions and infrared-identified H ii region candidates in the southern sky. For this data release, we reprocess all previously published SHRDS data and include an additional ∼450 hr of observations. The search for new H ii regions is now complete over the range 259° < < 346°, ∣b∣ < 4° for H ii region candidates with predicted 6 GHz continuum peak brightnesses ≳30 mJy beam−1. We detect radio continuum emission toward 730 targets altogether including previously known nebulae and H ii region candidates. By averaging ∼18 RRL transitions, we detect RRL emission toward 206 previously known H ii regions and 436 H ii region candidates. Including the northern sky surveys, over the last decade the H ii Region Discovery Surveys have more than doubled the number of known Galactic H ii regions. The census of H ii regions in the Wide-field Infrared Survey Explorer (WISE) Catalog of Galactic H ii Regions is now complete for nebulae with 9 GHz continuum flux densities ≳250 mJy. We compare the RRL properties of the newly discovered SHRDS nebulae with those of all previously known H ii regions. The median RRL FWHM line width of the entire WISE Catalog H ii region population is 23.9 km s−1 and is consistent between Galactic quadrants. The observed Galactic longitude–velocity asymmetry in the population of H ii regions probably reflects underlying spiral structure in the Milky Way.

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In this paper, we study the Galactic cosmic-ray (GCR) variations over the solar cycles 23 and 24, with measurements from NASA's Advanced Composition Explorer/Cosmic Ray Isotope Spectrometer instrument and the ground-based neutron monitors (NMs). The results show that the maximum GCR intensities of heavy nuclei (5 ≤ Z ≤ 28, 50∼500 MeV nuc−1) at 1 au during the solar minimum in 2019–2020 break their previous records, exceeding those recorded in 1997 and 2009 by ∼25% and ∼6%, respectively, and are at the highest levels since the space age. However, the peak NM count rates are lower than those in late 2009. The difference between GCR intensities and NM count rates still remains to be explained. Furthermore, we find that the GCR modulation environment during the solar minimum P24/25 are significantly different from previous solar minima in several aspects, including remarkably low sunspot numbers, extremely low inclination of the heliospheric current sheet, rare coronal mass ejections, weak interplanetary magnetic field and turbulence. These changes are conducive to reduce the level of solar modulation, providing a plausible explanation for the record-breaking GCR intensities in interplanetary space.

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The following article is Open access

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Extinction in ultraviolet is much more significant than in optical or infrared, which can be very informative to precisely measure the extinction and understand the dust properties in the low-extinction areas. The high Galactic latitude sky is such an area, important for studying the extragalactic sky and the universe. Based on the stellar parameters measured by the LAMOST and GALAH spectroscopy and the ultraviolet photometry by the Galaxy Evolution Explorer (GALEX) space telescope, the extinction of 1,244,504 stars in the GALEX/near-UV band and 56,123 stars in the GALEX/far-UV band is calculated precisely. The error of color excess is 0.009, 0.128, and 0.454 mag for ${E}_{{G}_{\mathrm{BP}},{G}_{\mathrm{RP}}}$, ${E}_{\mathrm{NUV},{{\rm{G}}}_{\mathrm{BP}}}$, and ${E}_{\mathrm{FUV},{{\rm{G}}}_{\mathrm{BP}}}$, respectively. They delineate the GALEX/near-UV extinction map of about a third of the sky mainly at the high Galactic latitude area with an angular resolution of ∼ 0fdg4. The mean color excess ratio in the entire sky area is derived to be 3.25, 2.95, and −0.37 for ${E}_{\mathrm{NUV},{{\rm{G}}}_{\mathrm{BP}}}/{E}_{{G}_{\mathrm{BP}},{G}_{\mathrm{RP}}}$, ${E}_{\mathrm{FUV},{{\rm{G}}}_{\mathrm{BP}}}/{E}_{{G}_{\mathrm{BP}},{G}_{\mathrm{RP}}}$, and ${E}_{\mathrm{FUV},\mathrm{NUV}}/{E}_{{G}_{\mathrm{BP}},{G}_{\mathrm{RP}}}$, respectively, which is in general agreement with the previous works, and their changes with the Galactic latitude and the interstellar extinction are discussed.

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We present 2241 exoplanet candidates identified with data from the Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite (TESS) during its 2 yr Prime Mission. We list these candidates in the TESS Objects of Interest (TOI) Catalog, which includes both new planet candidates found by TESS and previously known planets recovered by TESS observations. We describe the process used to identify TOIs, investigate the characteristics of the new planet candidates, and discuss some notable TESS planet discoveries. The TOI catalog includes an unprecedented number of small planet candidates around nearby bright stars, which are well suited for detailed follow-up observations. The TESS data products for the Prime Mission (sectors 1–26), including the TOI catalog, light curves, full-frame images, and target pixel files, are publicly available at the Mikulski Archive for Space Telescopes.

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A Full Solar Cycle of Interstellar Boundary Explorer (IBEX) Observations

The Interstellar Boundary Explorer (IBEX) mission has shown that variations in the energetic neutral atom (ENA) flux from the outer heliosphere are associated with the solar cycle and longer-term variations in the solar wind (SW). In particular, there is a good correlation between the dynamic pressure of the outbound SW and variations in the later-observed IBEX ENA flux. The time difference between observations of the outbound SW and the heliospheric ENAs with which they correlate ranges from approximately 2 to 6 yr or more, depending on ENA energy and look direction. This time difference can be used as a means of "sounding" the heliosheath, that is, finding the average distance to the ENA source region in a particular direction. We apply this method to build a 3D map of the heliosphere. We use IBEX ENA data collected over a complete solar cycle, from 2009 through 2019, corrected for survival probability to the inner heliosphere. Here we divide the data into 56 "macropixels" covering the entire sky. As each point in the sky is sampled once every 6 months, this gives us a time series of 22 points macropixel–1 on which to time-correlate. Consistent with prior studies and heliospheric models, we find that the shortest distance to the heliopause, dHP, is slightly south of the nose direction (dHP ∼ 110–120 au), with a flaring toward the flanks and poles (dHP ∼ 160–180 au). The heliosphere extends at least ∼350 au tailward, which is the distance limit of the technique.

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We investigate applying 3D deep convolutional neural networks as fast surrogate models of the formation and feedback effects of primordial stars in hydrodynamic cosmological simulations of the first galaxies. Here, we present the surrogate model to predict localized primordial star formation; the feedback model will be presented in a subsequent paper. The star formation prediction model consists of two submodels: the first is a 3D volume classifier that predicts which (10 comoving kpc)3 volumes will host star formation, followed by a 3D Inception-based U-net voxel segmentation model that predicts which voxels will form primordial stars. We find that the combined model predicts primordial star-forming volumes with high skill, with F1 > 0.995 and true skill score (TSS) >0.994. The star formation is localized within the volume to ≲53 voxels (∼1.6 comoving kpc3) with F1 > 0.399 and TSS >0.857. Applied to simulations with low spatial resolution, the model predicts star-forming regions in the same locations and at similar redshifts as sites in resolved full-physics simulations that explicitly model primordial star formation and feedback. When applied to simulations with lower mass resolution, we find that the model predicts star-forming regions at later redshift due to delayed structure formation resulting from lower mass resolution. Our model predicts primordial star formation without halo finding, so it will be useful in spatially under-resolved simulations that cannot resolve primordial star-forming halos. To our knowledge, this is the first model that can predict primordial star-forming regions that match highly resolved cosmological simulations.

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We present a cross-calibration of Hipparcos and Gaia EDR3 intended to identify astrometrically accelerating stars and to fit orbits to stars with faint, massive companions. The resulting catalog, the EDR3 edition of the Hipparcos–Gaia Catalog of Accelerations (HGCA), provides three proper motions with calibrated uncertainties on the EDR3 reference frame: the Hipparcos proper motion, the Gaia EDR3 proper motion, and the long-term proper motion given by the difference in position between Hipparcos and Gaia EDR3. Our approach is similar to that for the Gaia DR2 edition of the HGCA but offers a factor of ∼3 improvement in precision thanks to the longer time baseline and improved data processing of Gaia EDR3. We again find that a 60/40 mixture of the two Hipparcos reductions outperforms either reduction individually, and we find strong evidence for locally variable frame rotations between all pairs of proper motion measurements. The substantial global frame rotation seen in DR2 proper motions has been removed in EDR3. We also correct for color- and magnitude-dependent frame rotations at a level of up to ∼50 μas yr−1 in Gaia EDR3. We calibrate the Gaia EDR3 uncertainties using a sample of radial velocity standard stars without binary companions; we find an error inflation factor (a ratio of total to formal uncertainty) of 1.37. This is substantially lower than the position-dependent factor of ∼1.7 found for Gaia DR2 and reflects the improved data processing in EDR3. While the catalog should be used with caution, its proper motion residuals provide a powerful tool to measure the masses and orbits of faint, massive companions to nearby stars.

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The errors of cosmological data generated from complex processes, such as the observational Hubble parameter data (OHD) and the Type Ia supernova (SN Ia) data, cannot be accurately modeled by simple analytical probability distributions, e.g., a Gaussian distribution. To constrain cosmological parameters from these data, likelihood-free inference is usually used to bypass the direct calculation of the likelihood. In this paper, we propose a new procedure to perform likelihood-free cosmological inference using two artificial neural networks (ANNs), the masked autoregressive flow (MAF) and the denoising autoencoder (DAE). Our procedure is the first to use DAE to extract features from data, in order to simplify the structure of MAF needed to estimate the posterior. Tested on simulated Hubble parameter data with a simple Gaussian likelihood, the procedure shows the capability of extracting features from data and estimating posterior distributions without the need of tractable likelihood. We demonstrate that it can accurately approximate the real posterior, achieve performance comparable to the traditional Markov chain Monte Carlo method, and MAF obtains better training results for a small number of simulation when the DAE is added. We also discuss the application of the proposed procedure to OHD and Pantheon SN Ia data, and use them to constrain cosmological parameters from the non-flat ΛCDM model. For SNe Ia, we use fitted light-curve parameters to find constraints on H0, Ωm, and ΩΛ similar to relevant work, using less empirical distributions. In addition, this work is also the first to use a Gaussian process in the procedure of OHD simulation.

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This paper presents a novel formula to convert photographic density into intensity for historical photographic plates of the Sun. Photographic photometry is of great importance as the very first step of analyzing century-long archived photographic data to study the long-term variation. The calibration formula is newly developed by using the intensity fluctuation originating in the network pattern in the quiet region, taking into consideration the nonlinearity between the density and the intensity. The formula is useful especially when experimentally obtained characteristic curves are insufficient for homogeneous analysis of a whole long-term data set. An example procedure of the calibration using the formula is demonstrated. Resultant intensity images calibrated from the photographic data can reproduce both the fluctuation and the center-to-limb variation of modern reference data. The calibration procedure is also tested with a whole twentieth century data set and shows good performance, while the preliminary result of the long-term intensity variation seems to be partially affected by the quality of the original plates. The resultant solar Ca II K intensity variation will be updated and discussed in a subsequent paper with the comparison to the solar UV variation related to the terrestrial environment.