Abstract
The TRAPPIST-1 planetary system provides an exceptional opportunity for the atmospheric characterization of temperate terrestrial exoplanets with the upcoming James Webb Space Telescope (JWST). Assessing the potential impact of stellar contamination on the planets' transit transmission spectra is an essential precursor to this characterization. Planetary transits themselves can be used to scan the stellar photosphere and to constrain its heterogeneity through transit depth variations in time and wavelength. In this context, we present our analysis of 169 transits observed in the optical from space with K2 and from the ground with the SPECULOOS and Liverpool telescopes. Combining our measured transit depths with literature results gathered in the mid-/near-IR with Spitzer/IRAC and HST/WFC3, we construct the broadband transmission spectra of the TRAPPIST-1 planets over the 0.8–4.5 μm spectral range. While planet b, d, and f spectra show some structures at the 200–300 ppm level, the four others are globally flat. Even if we cannot discard their instrumental origins, two scenarios seem to be favored by the data: a stellar photosphere dominated by a few high-latitude giant (cold) spots, or, alternatively, by a few small and hot (3500–4000 K) faculae. In both cases, the stellar contamination of the transit transmission spectra is expected to be less dramatic than predicted in recent papers. Nevertheless, based on our results, stellar contamination can still be of comparable or greater order than planetary atmospheric signals at certain wavelengths. Understanding and correcting the effects of stellar heterogeneity therefore appears essential for preparing for the exploration of TRAPPIST-1 with JWST.
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1. Introduction
The nearby (∼12 pc) TRAPPIST-1 system is composed of an M8-type dwarf star orbited by seven nearly Earth-sized, temperate, planets (Gillon et al. 2017, hereafter G17). Considering their transiting nature, combined with the infrared brightness (K = 10.3) and the Jupiter-like size of their host star (∼0.12 R⊙, Van Grootel et al. 2018), these planets are particularly promising candidates for the first thorough atmospheric characterizations of temperate terrestrial worlds with the upcoming James Webb Space Telescope (JWST) (G17, Barstow & Irwin 2016; Morley et al. 2017). However, some recent works proposed that an inhomogeneous stellar photosphere—as anticipated for red dwarfs like TRAPPIST-1—could strongly complicate the information content of the exoplanets' transmission spectra, limiting the deciphering of their atmospheric properties (Apai et al. 2018; Rackham et al. 2018, hereafter R18). Therefore, the quantification and the correction of this spectral contamination should be a critical preliminary step before any intensive follow-up of the planets with JWST.
From TRAPPIST-1's K2 variability, R18 estimated TRAPPIST-1's coverage to be of cold spots and of hot faculae, assuming solar-type spots (which maximize the impact on the planets' transit spectra). They concluded that such a strong heterogeneous photosphere could alter the transit depth of the planets by roughly 1–15 times the strength of planetary features, dramatically complicating follow-up observations with JWST. More recently, Zhang et al. (2018, hereafter Z18) analyzed the near-IR data obtained with HST/WFC3 for several TRAPPIST-1 planets, and compared their resulting transit spectra with the R18 stellar contamination model. They concluded that the star should be almost entirely covered by spots (∼30%) and faculae (∼63%)—essentially a "two-component photosphere"—and predicted dramatic (a few dozens of percent) chromatic variations of the transit depths, especially in the optical.
In this context, here we present our analysis of 169 transit light curves observed in the optical by the K2 (Luger et al. 2017), SPECULOOS (Burdanov et al. 2017; Gillon 2018), and Liverpool (Steele et al. 2004) telescopes. We combine our measurements with the ones obtained in the mid-IR by Spitzer/IRAC (Delrez et al. 2018) and in the near-IR by HST/WFC3 (de Wit et al. 2018) to construct the broadband transmission spectra of the TRAPPIST-1 planets over the 0.8–4.5 μm spectral range. We confront these spectra with stellar contamination models in order to assess the impact of the heterogeneity of the star's photosphere on the atmospheric characterization of its planets.
The new observations and their reduction are described in Section 2, where we also provide our detailed data analysis and results. In Section 3 we discuss the temporal variability of the measured transit depths, as well as the structure of the planets' broadband transit transmission spectra, notably leveraging the visible part of these spectra for the first time. We present two different scenarios capable of fitting the spectra, and for which stellar heterogeneity could be dominated by a few giant cold spots or a few small hot faculae, and discuss their implications for the atmospheric characterization of the planets. Finally, we give our conclusions in Section 4.
2. Observations and Data Analysis
2.1. Observations
The new data used in this work consist of transit light curves of the TRAPPIST-1 planets observed from the ground by the SPECULOOS (Gillon 2018) and Liverpool (Steele et al. 2004) telescopes and from space by the K2 mission (Howell et al. 2014).
We observed 37 different transits with 1 or 2 telescopes of the SPECULOOS-South Observatory (SSO, Burdanov et al. 2017; Gillon 2018) at Cerro Paranal, Chile (see Table 1), in the context of the commissioning of the facility. This represents 52 transits in total, as some were observed with two SSO telescopes simultaneously. Each SSO robotic telescope has a primary aperture of 1 m and a focal length of 8 m, and is equipped with a 2k × 2k deep-depletion CCD camera whose 13.5 μm pixel size corresponds to 035 on the sky (field of view = 12' × 12'). These observations were carried out in an I+z filter for which we computed an effective wavelength of ∼0.9 μm for a M8-type star like TRAPPIST-1, taking into account the spectral response curve of the telescope+atmosphere. Exposure times of 23 s were used for all observations. A standard calibration (bias, dark, and flat-field corrections) was applied to each image, and fluxes were measured for the stars in the field with the DAOPHOT aperture photometry software (Stetson 1987). Differential photometry was then performed after a careful selection of comparison stars.
Table 1. Number of Transits Observed by K2, SSO, and LT Analyzed in this Work for Each TRAPPIST-1 Planet
Planet | K2 | SSO | LT |
---|---|---|---|
TRAPPIST-1 b | 42 | 20 | 4 |
TRAPPIST-1 c | 29 | 11 | 5 |
TRAPPIST-1 d | 15 | 5 | 1 |
TRAPPIST-1 e | 8 | 8 | 2 |
TRAPPIST-1 f | 6 | 2 | / |
TRAPPIST-1 g | 3 | 3 | / |
TRAPPIST-1 h | 1 | 3 | 1 |
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We obtained 13 transits of the TRAPPIST-1 planets with the use of the 2 m Liverpool Telescope (LT, Steele et al. 2004) installed on the island of La Palma at the Roque de los Muchachos observatory. For our observations, we used the IO:O optical wide field camera which has 4k × 4k deep-depletion CCD with 15 μm sized pixels and 10 × 10 arcmin2 field of view. We used 2 × 2 binning that resulted in a 0.3 arcsec pixel−1 image scale. All the observations were performed in the Sloan z' band with 20 s exposures. Data reduction and subsequent aperture photometry were carried out in the same manner as for the SSO data.
TRAPPIST-1 was observed with the K2 telescope in an overall bandpass ranging from 420 to 900 nm over a period of 79 days in Campaign 12, which represents a total of 104 transits. The short cadence Target Pixel File (TPF), with a cadence rate of 1 per minute, was downloaded from the Mikulski Archive for Space Telescopes (MAST). We used the same procedure to extract and detrend the light curve as done in Luger et al. (2017) and Grimm et al. (2018). We first applied a centroiding algorithm to find the (x, y) position of the PSF center in each cadence frame. We summed the flux within a circular top-hat aperture, centered on the PSF center in each frame. We used a Gaussian Process regression pipeline (Luger et al. 2017; Grimm et al. 2018) to remove the instrumental systematics due to K2 telescope's periodic roll angle drift, and the stellar variability. The systematics were fitted using a kernel that contained additive terms for the time- and position-dependent variation, enabling us to separate and subtract them individually. To ensure that the transits were not fitted as stellar variability, we masked them out during the fitting and regression procedure. The stellar and long-term variability were then subtracted from the light curve. The 6 hr combined differential photometric precision (CDPP) of the detrended light curve is 339 ppm.
We considered only well-isolated and complete transits in our analysis, discarding blended transits of different planets (nine transits discarded), partial transits (six transits discarded), transits affected by flares (seven transits discarded), and transits affected by technical problems or bad weather conditions (three transits discarded). In total, 35 transits were discarded. Our final data set was composed of 169 transit light curves, respectively 67 for TRAPPIST-1 b, 45 for −1 c, 21 for −1 d, 18 for −1 e, 8 for −1 f, 7 for −1 g, and 5 for −1 h. The number of transits kept for each planet is presented in Table 1 for K2, SSO, and LT.
2.2. Data Analysis
We chose to follow different approaches in our data analysis to ensure the robustness of our results. First, we analyzed each transit individually to extract its individual properties to, notably, search for signs of variability. Then, we proceeded to a global analysis of all transit light curves for each planet to determine precisely the average transit depths in K2, SSO, and LT bandpass. Finally, we performed an additional global analysis, this time enabling all transits to have different depths in order to assess their variability. For those two distinct global analyses, the transits observed by K2, SSO, and LT were analyzed separately. All of our analyses were performed with the most recent version of the adaptive Markov Chain Monte-Carlo (MCMC) code introduced in Gillon et al. (2012; see Gillon et al. 2014, hereafter G14, for an extensive description of our MCMC algorithm). In this work we assumed a quadratic limb-darkening (LD) law for all the analyses, using normal prior distributions for the LD coefficients u1 and u2 based on theoretical values and 1σ errors interpolated from the table of Claret & Bloemen (2011). The modes of the normal prior distributions for u1 and u2 for the non-conventional I+z filter used by SSO were chosen as the average of the values interpolated from the tables for the standard filters Ic and z'.
Finally, for each instrument we also performed a global analysis of all transits for each planet with free LD coefficients, those values being the same across all planets within each global analysis. The aim of this analysis was to better constrain the limb-darkening coefficients, as each planet samples a different chord of the stellar photosphere. For K2, the fitted LD coefficients through this procedure are consistent with the model-based LD priors used in the other analyses, the output LD coefficients from this global analysis were successfully constrained by the many transits. In this case, their respective values were: u1 = 1.00 + −0.1; u2 = −0.04 + −0.2 whereas the priors used on the LD coefficients in the rest of our analyses from interpolation of Claret & Bloemen (2011) tables were u1 = 0.99 + −0.09; u2 = −0.19 + −0.08, which is consistent. The transit depths derived from this analysis are consistent with the remainder of our analyses (Table 2). Unfortunately, for SSO and LT these global analyses failed to converge, meaning that the data do not allow for the constraint of the limb=darkening coefficients.
Table 2. Comparison of dFAnalyses, the Transit Depth Values Obtained from a Global Analysis of all the K2 Transits for Each Planet, with dFLD, the Transit Depth Values Obtained from a Global Analysis of the Period-folded TTV-corrected K2 Transit Photometry with Free Limb-darkening Coefficients for All Planets
Telescope | Planet | dFLD (%) | dFAnalyses (%) |
---|---|---|---|
K2 | 1b | 0.751 ± 0.027 | 0.716 ± 0.021 |
1c | 0.712 ± 0.009 | 0.684 ± 0.019 | |
1d | 0.386 ± 0.009 | 0.412 ± 0.028 | |
1e | 0.460 ± 0.009 | 0.449 ± 0.034 | |
1f | 0.617 ± 0.067 | 0.541 ± 0.034 | |
1g | 0.741 ± 0.026 | 0.668 ± 0.070 | |
1h | 0.291 ± 0.029 | 0.347 ± 0.058 |
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2.2.1. Individual Analyses of the Light Curves
First, we converted for each photometric measurement the mid-exposure time to the BJDTDB time system, as recommended by Eastman et al. (2010). We modeled each transit with the model of Mandel & Agol (2002), multiplied by a baseline model accounting for the photometric variations of stellar, atmospheric, and instrumental origins (see G14). For each light curve, the model selection was based on the minimization of the Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC, Schwarz 1978). For a significant fraction of the light curves obtained by K2 and SSO, including a polynomial function of time in the model—to account for the low-frequency signals like the rotational variability of the star—resulted in a significant decrease of the BIC (see Table 3). For some SSO and LT light curves, additional terms in the position or width of the stellar point-spread function were also favored (see Tables 4 and 5). A small fraction of the SSO's light curves' baselines also included an airmass and/or a background polynomial function.
Table 3. Same as Table 4, but for K2
Planet | Date | Number of Points | Epoch | Baseline | βw | βr | CF |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
b | 2016 Dec 18 | 301 | 277 | p(t2) | 0.86 | 1.84 | 1.59 |
2016 Dec 20 | 303 | 278 | p(t3) | 0.88 | 1.68 | 1.47 | |
2016 Dec 21 | 303 | 279 | p(t1) | 0.82 | 1.08 | 0.95 | |
2016 Dec 23 | 304 | 280 | p(t1) | 0.84 | 1.00 | 0.84 | |
2016 Dec 26 | 242 | 282 | p(s) | 0.91 | 1.11 | 1.01 | |
2016 Dec 27 | 241 | 283 | p(s) | 0.92 | 1.08 | 1.00 | |
2016 Dec 29 | 305 | 284 | p(t2) | 0.91 | 1.38 | 1.26 | |
2016 Dec 30 | 304 | 285 | p(s) | 0.84 | 1.34 | 1.13 | |
2017 Jan 01 | 303 | 286 | p(t2) | 0.86 | 1.01 | 0.87 | |
2017 Jan 02 | 305 | 287 | p(t1) | 0.90 | 1.74 | 1.57 | |
2017 Jan 04 | 303 | 288 | p(s) | 0.80 | 1.74 | 1.40 | |
2017 Jan 05 | 214 | 289 | p(t1) | 0.81 | 1.00 | 1.81 | |
2017 Jan 07 | 302 | 290 | p(t3) | 0.87 | 1.15 | 1.01 | |
2017 Jan 08 | 269 | 291 | p(t3) | 0.93 | 1.09 | 1.02 | |
2017 Jan 10 | 303 | 292 | p(s) | 0.87 | 1.82 | 1.57 | |
2017 Jan 11 | 303 | 293 | p(t3) | 0.84 | 1.07 | 0.91 | |
2017 Jan 13 | 305 | 294 | p(t1) | 0.89 | 1.12 | 1.00 | |
2017 Jan 14 | 305 | 295 | p(t2) | 0.90 | 1.28 | 1.16 | |
2017 Jan 16 | 297 | 296 | p(s) | 0.91 | 1.63 | 1.49 | |
2017 Jan 17 | 215 | 297 | p(t1) | 0.84 | 1.53 | 1.28 | |
2017 Jan 19 | 206 | 298 | p(s) | 0.82 | 1.68 | 1.39 | |
2017 Jan 20 | 259 | 299 | p(s) | 0.92 | 1.22 | 1.13 | |
2017 Jan 22 | 304 | 300 | p(t1) | 0.88 | 1.48 | 1.32 | |
2017 Jan 23 | 303 | 301 | p(t4) | 0.89 | 1.00 | 0.89 | |
2017 Jan 25 | 302 | 302 | p(s) | 0.82 | 1.19 | 0.87 | |
2017 Jan 26 | 302 | 303 | p(t1) | 0.86 | 1.43 | 1.23 | |
2017 Jan 29 | 293 | 305 | p(t2) | 0.87 | 1.04 | 0.91 | |
2017 Jan 31 | 304 | 306 | p(t3) | 0.90 | 1.22 | 1.11 | |
2017 Feb 07 | 306 | 311 | p(t3) | 0.81 | 1.09 | 0.87 | |
2017 Feb 10 | 300 | 313 | p(s) | 0.97 | 1.63 | 1.58 | |
2017 Feb 12 | 304 | 314 | p(s) | 1.04 | 1.31 | 1.36 | |
2017 Feb 13 | 302 | 315 | p(t4) | 0.92 | 1.12 | 1.03 | |
2017 Feb 15 | 304 | 316 | p(t2) | 0.94 | 1.34 | 1.26 | |
2017 Feb 16 | 303 | 317 | p(t3) | 0.94 | 1.16 | 1.09 | |
2017 Feb 18 | 296 | 318 | p(t1) | 0.81 | 1.09 | 0.87 | |
2017 Feb 19 | 305 | 319 | p(t1) | 0.88 | 1.11 | 0.98 | |
2017 Feb 21 | 206 | 320 | p(s) | 0.91 | 1.54 | 1.40 | |
2017 Feb 24 | 294 | 322 | p(t1) | 0.95 | 1.08 | 1.02 | |
2017 Feb 26 | 305 | 323 | p(t3) | 0.87 | 1.00 | 0.87 | |
2017 Mar 01 | 196 | 325 | p(s) | 0.95 | 1.19 | 1.13 | |
2017 Mar 01 | 291 | 326 | p(t1) | 0.93 | 1.00 | 0.93 | |
2017 Mar 04 | 305 | 327 | p(s) | 1.02 | 1.89 | 1.93 | |
c | 2016 Dec 18 | 304 | 189 | p(t1) | 0.83 | 1.00 | 0.83 |
2016 Dec 20 | 219 | 190 | p(t2) | 0.87 | 1.28 | 1.07 | |
2016 Dec 22 | 217 | 191 | p(s) | 0.81 | 1.73 | 1.41 | |
2016 Dec 25 | 304 | 192 | p(s) | 0.86 | 1.64 | 1.41 | |
2016 Dec 27 | 238 | 193 | p(s) | 0.83 | 1.00 | 0.83 | |
2016 Dec 30 | 303 | 194 | p(t1) | 0.80 | 1.30 | 1.04 | |
2017 Jan 03 | 232 | 196 | p(s) | 0.89 | 2.14 | 1.90 | |
2017 Jan 05 | 185 | 197 | p(t1) | 0.89 | 1.06 | 0.94 | |
2017 Jan 07 | 250 | 198 | p(t4) | 0.88 | 1.22 | 1.08 | |
2017 Jan 11 | 304 | 199 | p(s) | 0.85 | 1.51 | 1.28 | |
2017 Jan 13 | 302 | 200 | p(s) | 0.84 | 1.35 | 1.14 | |
2017 Jan 16 | 249 | 201 | p(t2) | 0.81 | 1.25 | 1.03 | |
2017 Jan 18 | 244 | 202 | p(s) | 0.80 | 1.09 | 0.87 | |
2017 Jan 20 | 284 | 203 | p(t1) | 0.84 | 1.17 | 0.98 | |
2017 Jan 23 | 305 | 204 | p(t3) | 0.86 | 1.00 | 0.86 | |
2017 Jan 25 | 304 | 205 | p(s) | 0.91 | 1.46 | 1.34 | |
2017 Jan 27 | 233 | 206 | p(s) | 0.84 | 1.29 | 1.08 | |
2017 Jan 30 | 216 | 207 | p(t1) | 0.91 | 1.13 | 1.03 | |
2017 Feb 06 | 188 | 210 | p(t3) | 0.85 | 1.00 | 0.85 | |
2017 Feb 09 | 221 | 211 | p(t1) | 0.87 | 1.31 | 1.14 | |
2017 Feb 11 | 303 | 212 | p(t2) | 0.88 | 1.18 | 1.05 | |
2017 Feb 14 | 304 | 213 | p(t3) | 0.85 | 1.77 | 1.51 | |
2017 Feb 16 | 258 | 214 | p(t2) | 0.95 | 1.69 | 1.60 | |
2017 Feb 18 | 253 | 215 | p(t3) | 0.85 | 1.11 | 1.94 | |
2017 Feb 21 | 210 | 216 | p(t1) | 0.92 | 1.42 | 1.31 | |
2017 Feb 23 | 307 | 217 | p(t2) | 0.89 | 1.31 | 1.17 | |
2017 Feb 26 | 304 | 218 | p(s) | 0.89 | 2.00 | 1.79 | |
2017 Feb 28 | 306 | 219 | p(t2) | 0.93 | 1.00 | 0.93 | |
2017 Mar 03 | 305 | 220 | p(t3) | 0.87 | 1.00 | 0.87 | |
d | 2016 Dec 16 | 305 | 44 | p(s) | 0.84 | 1.13 | 0.96 |
2016 Dec 20 | 203 | 45 | p(t4) | 0.79 | 1.00 | 0.79 | |
2016 Dec 28 | 304 | 47 | p(t4) | 0.88 | 1.13 | 1.00 | |
2017 Jan 01 | 186 | 48 | p(t1) | 0.83 | 1.00 | 0.83 | |
2017 Jan 05 | 198 | 49 | p(s) | 0.89 | 1.01 | 0.90 | |
2017 Jan 09 | 305 | 50 | p(t3) | 0.79 | 1.00 | 0.79 | |
2017 Jan 13 | 304 | 51 | p(t1) | 0.84 | 1.09 | 0.91 | |
2017 Jan 17 | 491 | 52 | p(s) | 0.91 | 1.48 | 1.35 | |
2017 Jan 21 | 306 | 53 | p(t1) | 0.87 | 1.30 | 1.13 | |
2017 Jan 25 | 298 | 54 | p(t3) | 0.87 | 1.45 | 1.27 | |
2017 Feb 07 | 210 | 57 | p(s) | 0.87 | 1.00 | 0.87 | |
2017 Feb 23 | 305 | 61 | p(t1) | 0.87 | 1.11 | 0.97 | |
2017 Feb 27 | 304 | 61 | p(t1) | 0.93 | 1.40 | 1.30 | |
2017 Mar 03 | 306 | 63 | p(s) | 0.97 | 1.00 | 0.97 | |
e | 2016 Dec 17 | 259 | 70 | p(t1) | 0.84 | 1.40 | 1.17 |
2016 Dec 23 | 303 | 71 | p(t1) | 0.87 | 1.27 | 1.11 | |
2016 Jan 04 | 296 | 73 | p(t1) | 0.88 | 2.01 | 1.78 | |
2016 Jan 10 | 251 | 74 | p(t1) | 0.89 | 1.20 | 1.08 | |
2016 Jan 16 | 306 | 75 | p(t1) | 0.87 | 1.04 | 0.90 | |
2016 Jan 22 | 304 | 76 | p(t2) | 0.83 | 1.05 | 0.89 | |
2016 Jan 28 | 304 | 77 | p(t1) | 0.91 | 1.00 | 0.91 | |
2016 Feb 10 | 304 | 79 | p(t1) | 0.90 | 1.55 | 1.40 | |
f | 2016 Dec 22 | 260 | 8 | p(s) | 0.90 | 1.52 | 1.37 |
2016 Dec 31 | 304 | 9 | p(s) | 0.88 | 1.16 | 1.03 | |
2017 Jan 09 | 304 | 10 | p(s) | 0.90 | 1.79 | 1.62 | |
2017 Jan 19 | 223 | 11 | p(t1) | 0.89 | 1.15 | 1.03 | |
2017 Feb 15 | 303 | 14 | p(s) | 0.87 | 1.67 | 1.46 | |
2017 Feb 15 | 301 | 15 | p(s) | 0.89 | 1.30 | 1.15 | |
g | 2017 Jan 10 | 199 | 8 | p(s) | 0.89 | 1.05 | 0.93 |
2017 Feb 16 | 256 | 11 | p(t1) | 0.88 | 1.51 | 1.34 | |
2017 Mar 01 | 156 | 12 | p(s) | 0.96 | 1.41 | 1.35 | |
h | 2017 Jan 02 | 304 | 5 | p(t1) | 0.82 | 1.06 | 0.88 |
Table 4. Description of the Transit Light Curves Measured for TRAPPIST-1 Planets by SPECULOOS-South
Planet | Date | Telescope | Number of Points | Epoch | Baseline | βw | βr | CF |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
b | 2017 Jun 18 | Europa | 487 | 398 | 1.22 | 1.20 | 1.47 | |
2017 Jun 30 | Io | 196 | 406 | p(t1) | 1.04 | 1.00 | 1.04 | |
2017 Jun 30 | Europa | 242 | 406 | 1.02 | 1.89 | 1.93 | ||
2017 Aug 01 | Europa | 273 | 427 | 1.28 | 1.09 | 1.40 | ||
2017 Aug 07 | Europa | 228 | 431 | 1.07 | 1.49 | 1.59 | ||
2017 Aug 13 | Europa | 263 | 435 | p(t1) | 1.18 | 1.18 | 1.39 | |
2017 Aug 13 | Io | 434 | 435 | p(t1) | 1.04 | 1.15 | 1.19 | |
2017 Aug 19 | Europa | 287 | 439 | p(s) | 1.09 | 1.24 | 1.35 | |
2017 Aug 25 | Europa | 284 | 443 | p(s) | 1.35 | 1.3 | 1.75 | |
2017 Sep 20 | Europa | 254 | 460 | 1.29 | 1.04 | 1.33 | ||
2017 Sep 23 | Io | 264 | 462 | p(xy1) | 0.99 | 1.30 | 1.30 | |
2017 Oct 08 | Europa | 257 | 472 | p(xy1) | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.69 | |
2017 Oct 20 | Europa | 227 | 480 | p(t1) | 1.06 | 1.2 | 1.28 | |
2017 Nov 30 | Europa | 260 | 507 | p(s) | 1.22 | 1.21 | 1.48 | |
2017 Nov 30 | Io | 267 | 507 | 1.21 | 1.00 | 1.21 | ||
2017 Dec 03 | Io | 262 | 509 | p(t1) | 1.13 | 1.37 | 1.55 | |
2017 Dec 03 | Europa | 259 | 509 | p(t1) | 1.04 | 1.00 | 1.04 | |
2017 Dec 06 | Europa | 212 | 511 | p(t1) | 1.89 | 1.00 | 1.89 | |
2017 Aug 28 | Europa | 154 | 445 | p(s) | 1.13 | 1.07 | 1.21 | |
2017 Aug 28 | Io | 156 | 445 | p(s) | 1.16 | 1.00 | 1.16 | |
c | 2017 Aug 28 | Europa | 178 | 294 | p(fwhm1) | 1.14 | 1.00 | 1.14 |
2017 Aug 28 | Io | 272 | 294 | p(t1) | 1.10 | 1.61 | 1.76 | |
2017 Sep 14 | Europa | 247 | 301 | p(t1) | 1.08 | 1.35 | 1.45 | |
2017 Sep 15 | Io | 339 | 301 | 1.95 | 1.00 | 1.95 | ||
2017 Oct 06 | Europa | 364 | 310 | p(t2) | 1.12 | 1.19 | 1.33 | |
2017 Oct 18 | Europa | 264 | 315 | p(t1) | 1.13 | 1.04 | 1.18 | |
2017 Nov 21 | Europa | 318 | 329 | p(b1) | 1.14 | 1.21 | 1.37 | |
2017 Nov 21 | Io | 265 | 329 | 1.07 | 1.37 | 1.47 | ||
2017 Dec 08 | Europa | 240 | 336 | p(s) | 1.11 | 1.18 | 1.31 | |
2017 Dec 08 | Io | 243 | 336 | p(a1) | 1.08 | 1.27 | 1.38 | |
2017 Nov 04 | Europa | 267 | 322 | p(t1) | 1.19 | 1.00 | 1.19 | |
d | 2017 Jul 26 | Europa | 422 | 72 | p(s) | 1.03 | 1.78 | 1.82 |
2017 Aug 03 | Europa | 325 | 74 | p(t1) | 1.18 | 1.31 | 1.55 | |
2017 Aug 03 | Io | 378 | 74 | 1.16 | 1.38 | 1.59 | ||
2017 Aug 07 | Europa | 320 | 75 | 1.17 | 1.00 | 1.17 | ||
2017 Oct 07 | Europa | 322 | 90 | 1.07 | 1.13 | 1.21 | ||
e | 2017 Jun 29 | Europa | 422 | 45 | p(s) | 1.19 | 1.00 | 1.19 |
2017 Jun 29 | Io | 401 | 45 | p(t1) | 1.06 | 1.33 | 1.41 | |
2017 Jul 05 | Europa | 448 | 46 | 1.44 | 1.10 | 1.58 | ||
2017 Jul 05 | Io | 445 | 46 | 1.13 | 1.00 | 1.13 | ||
2017 Aug 17 | Europa | 388 | 53 | p(s) | 0.93 | 1.39 | 1.30 | |
2017 Aug 17 | Io | 198 | 53 | p(s) | 0.91 | 1.05 | 0.95 | |
2017 Aug 23 | Europa | 418 | 54 | p(s) | 1.14 | 1.82 | 2.08 | |
2017 Aug 23 | Io | 415 | 54 | p(s) | 1.14 | 1.35 | 1.53 | |
f | 2017 Aug 27 | Europa | 363 | 35 | p(s) | 1.14 | 1.55 | 1.76 |
2017 Oct 10 | Europa | 608 | 40 | p(s) | 1.11 | 1.42 | 1.58 | |
g | 2017 Jun 19 | Europa | 497 | 21 | p(fwhm1) | 0.95 | 1.05 | 1.00 |
2017 Jul 26 | Europa | 475 | 22 | p(s) | 1.24 | 1.48 | 1.83 | |
2017 Jul 27 | Europa | 533 | 23 | p(s) | 1.23 | 1.08 | 1.34 | |
h | 2017 Jul 27 | Europa | 741 | 16 | p(a1) | 1.28 | 1.70 | 2.18 |
2017 Aug 15 | Io | 412 | 17 | p(t1) | 1.01 | 1.08 | 1.19 | |
2017 Aug 15 | Europa | 434 | 17 | p(a1) | 0.97 | 1.81 | 1.77 |
Note. For each light curve, this table shows the date of acquisition, the instrument used, the number of data points, the epoch based on the transit ephemeris presented in Delrez et al. (2018), the selected baseline function (see Section 2), and the deduced values for βw, βr, and (see Section 2). For the baseline function, p(N ) denotes, respectively, an N-order polynomial function of time ( = t), the full width at half maximum ( = fwhm), x and y positions ( = xy), the background ( = b), the airmass ( = a), and a scalar ( = s).
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Table 5. Same as Table 4, but for LT
Planet | Date | Number of Points | Epoch | Baseline | βw | βr | CF |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
b | 2017 May 31 | 139 | 386 | 1.23 | 1.00 | 1.23 | |
2017 Jul 23 | 152 | 421 | p(s) | 1.00 | 1.09 | 1.09 | |
2017 Jul 29 | 153 | 425 | p(s) | 0.99 | 1.08 | 1.07 | |
2017 Aug 5 | 156 | 429 | p(t1) | 1.58 | 1.00 | 1.58 | |
c | 2017 Jul 01 | 157 | 270 | p(s) | 0.88 | 1.43 | 1.26 |
2017 Sep 07 | 178 | 298 | p(t1)) | 0.95 | 1.00 | 0.95 | |
2017 Sep 19 | 178 | 303 | p(t1) | 1.31 | 1.24 | 1.63 | |
2017 Oct 28 | 176 | 319 | p(s) | 1.11 | 1.31 | 1.46 | |
2017 Aug 5 | 187 | 284 | p(s) | 1.51 | 1.25 | 1.79 | |
d | 2017 Sep 21 | 227 | 113 | 1.45 | 1.05 | 1.52 | |
e | 2017 Aug 17 | 274 | 110 | p(t1) | 1.30 | 1.28 | 1.66 |
2017 Aug 17 | 202 | 118 | p(s) | 1.00 | 1.55 | 1.55 | |
h | 2017 Aug 15 | 378 | 17 | p(t1) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
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For each transit light curve, the jump parameters of the MCMC analysis, i.e., the parameters perturbed at each step of the Markov chains, were as follows:
- 1.The transit depth (planet-to-star area ratio) dF =(Rp/R⋆)2, the time of mid-transit (or inferior conjunction) T0, and the transit impact parameter assuming a circular orbit b = , where a is the semimajor axis and i is the inclination of the orbit.
- 2.The mass, radius, effective temperature, and metallicity of the star, for which we assumed the following normal prior distributions: M⋆ = 0.089 ± 0.006 M⊙, R⋆ = 0.121 ±0.003 R⊙, Teff = 2516 ± 41 K, and [Fe/H] = 0.04 ±0.08 (Van Grootel et al. 2018), respectively.
We first assessed a correction factor (CF) for each individual light curve via a short (10,000 steps) Markov chain. This correction factor was then used to rescale the photometric error bars while accounting for a possible inadequate estimation of the white noise (βw) and the presence of red noise (βr) via . βr allows us to account for possible correlated noise present in the light curve; this scaling factor is determined by following a procedure similar to the one described in Winn et al. (2008) in which it is obtained by comparing the standard deviations of the binned and unbinned residuals for different binning intervals ranging from 5 to 120 minutes, i.e., the typical timescales of an eclipse light curve (e.g., the duration of ingress or egress).
We then ran 2 chains of 100,000 steps for each light curve and successfully tested their convergence using a statistical test of Gelman & Rubin (1992).
The results obtained from these individual analyses are shown in Table 6 for SSO, in Table 7 for K2, and in Table 8 for LT. Each table gathers for each planet the transit times and depths derived from these individual analyses. The results are discussed in Section 3.
Table 6. Transit Timings and Depths Obtained from the Individual Analyses of SPECULOOS Light Curves
Planet | Epoch | Transit Timing ] | Transit Depth (%) | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
b | 398 | 7923.84586 | 0.00043 | 0.764 | 0.060 |
406 | 7935.93284 | 0.00028 | 0.842 | 0.047 | |
406 | 7935.93316 | 0.00053 | 0.893 | 0.088 | |
427 | 7967.66254 | 0.00053 | 0.686 | 0.068 | |
431 | 7973.70588 | 0.00058 | 0.759 | 0.078 | |
435 | 7979.74899 | 0.00030 | 0.835 | 0.058 | |
435 | 7979.74864 | 0.00034 | 0.738 | 0.048 | |
439 | 7985.79209 | 0.00034 | 0.721 | 0.052 | |
443 | 7991.83579 | 0.00041 | 0.845 | 0.079 | |
460 | 8017.52106 | 0.00041 | 0.774 | 0.079 | |
462 | 8020.54219 | 0.00036 | 0.758 | 0.056 | |
472 | 8035.65192 | 0.00065 | 0.801 | 0.085 | |
480 | 8047.73788 | 0.00059 | 0.676 | 0.094 | |
507 | 8088.53228 | 0.00033 | 0.796 | 0.060 | |
507 | 8088.53206 | 0.00026 | 0.920 | 0.059 | |
509 | 8091.55411 | 0.00036 | 0.878 | 0.065 | |
509 | 8091.55364 | 0.00035 | 0.809 | 0.045 | |
511 | 8094.57595 | 0.00067 | 0.822 | 0.120 | |
445 | 7994.85842 | 0.00047 | 0.819 | 0.084 | |
445 | 7994.85833 | 0.00051 | 0.855 | 0.083 | |
c | 294 | 7994.81758 | 0.0004 | 0.835 | 0.068 |
294 | 7994.81885 | 0.00065 | 0.695 | 0.082 | |
301 | 8011.77150 | 0.00046 | 0.826 | 0.066 | |
301 | 8011.77102 | 0.00036 | 0.878 | 0.078 | |
310 | 8033.56743 | 0.00041 | 0.801 | 0.060 | |
315 | 8045.67598 | 0.00035 | 0.738 | 0.055 | |
329 | 8079.58077 | 0.00042 | 0.649 | 0.055 | |
329 | 8079.58172 | 0.00050 | 0.679 | 0.055 | |
336 | 8096.53342 | 0.00037 | 0.789 | 0.055 | |
336 | 8096.53330 | 0.00051 | 0.819 | 0.062 | |
322 | 8062.62794 | 0.00039 | 0.727 | 0.160 | |
d | 72 | 7961.73755 | 0.00012 | 0.394 | 0.057 |
74 | 7969.83771 | 0.00020 | 0.264 | 0.062 | |
74 | 7969.83665 | 0.00100 | 0.375 | 0.065 | |
75 | 7973.88834 | 0.00140 | 0.401 | 0.062 | |
90 | 8034.62829 | 0.00063 | 0.405 | 0.048 | |
e | 45 | 7934.83251 | 0.00088 | 0.442 | 0.046 |
45 | 7934.82990 | 0.00092 | 0.417 | 0.044 | |
46 | 7940.93132 | 0.00049 | 0.547 | 0.048 | |
46 | 7940.92923 | 0.00061 | 0.454 | 0.055 | |
53 | 7983.62886 | 0.00095 | 0.522 | 0.055 | |
53 | 7983.62706 | 0.00053 | 0.590 | 0.057 | |
54 | 7989.73173 | 0.00210 | 0.449 | 0.065 | |
54 | 7989.72916 | 0.00067 | 0.458 | 0.045 | |
f | 35 | 7993.63410 | 0.00070 | 0.741 | 0.074 |
40 | 8039.66021 | 0.00084 | 0.639 | 0.056 | |
g | 21 | 7924.76924 | 0.00055 | 0.791 | 0.051 |
24 | 7961.82599 | 0.00075 | 0.723 | 0.059 | |
29 | 7813.60697 | 0.00200 | 0.867 | 0.17 | |
h | 16 | 7962.86330 | 0.0018 | 0.372 | 0.052 |
17 | 7981.63159 | 0.0016 | 0.290 | 0.046 | |
17 | 7981.63059 | 0.0030 | 0.301 | 0.046 |
Note. Each row represents a transit, the first column gives the planet's name, the second column gives the epoch of the transit, the third column gives the mid-transit timing and the corresponding error resulting from the analysis, and the last column gives the transit depth and corresponding error resulting from the analysis.
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Table 7. Transit Timings and Depths Obtained from Individual Analyses of K2 Light Curves
Planet | Epoch | Transit Timing ] | Transit Depth (%) | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
b | 277 | 7741.02841 | 0.0011 | 0.959 | 0.200 |
278 | 7742.54031 | 0.00120 | 0.804 | 0.160 | |
279 | 7744.05191 | 0.00063 | 0.740 | 0.095 | |
280 | 7745.56254 | 0.00071 | 0.721 | 0.080 | |
282 | 7748.58511 | 0.00071 | 0.728 | 0.084 | |
283 | 7750.09533 | 0.00150 | 0.776 | 0.110 | |
284 | 7751.60539 | 0.00093 | 0.799 | 0.150 | |
285 | 7753.11716 | 0.00064 | 0.746 | 0.100 | |
286 | 7754.62846 | 0.00071 | 0.720 | 0.089 | |
287 | 7756.13952 | 0.00110 | 0.775 | 0.150 | |
288 | 7757.64925 | 0.00098 | 0.784 | 0.100 | |
289 | 7759.16120 | 0.00100 | 0.689 | 0.080 | |
290 | 7760.67229 | 0.00086 | 0.743 | 0.097 | |
291 | 7762.18295 | 0.00090 | 0.569 | 0.055 | |
292 | 7763.69272 | 0.00110 | 0.741 | 0.130 | |
293 | 7765.20352 | 0.00056 | 0.843 | 0.083 | |
294 | 7766.71525 | 0.00074 | 0.766 | 0.089 | |
295 | 7768.22451 | 0.00089 | 0.932 | 0.180 | |
296 | 7769.73779 | 0.00140 | 0.666 | 0.200 | |
297 | 7771.24857 | 0.00140 | 0.673 | 0.150 | |
298 | 7772.75851 | 0.00120 | 0.643 | 0.120 | |
299 | 7774.26913 | 0.00085 | 0.889 | 0.110 | |
300 | 7775.78022 | 0.00099 | 0.736 | 0.120 | |
301 | 7777.28984 | 0.00069 | 0.685 | 0.085 | |
302 | 7778.80191 | 0.00084 | 0.632 | 0.070 | |
303 | 7780.31394 | 0.00058 | 0.719 | 0.089 | |
305 | 7783.33438 | 0.00110 | 0.604 | 0.082 | |
306 | 7784.84448 | 0.00150 | 0.555 | 0.110 | |
311 | 7792.40048 | 0.00110 | 0.788 | 0.092 | |
313 | 7795.42062 | 0.00110 | 0.902 | 0.210 | |
314 | 7796.93214 | 0.00093 | 0.772 | 0.130 | |
315 | 7798.44260 | 0.00065 | 0.836 | 0.120 | |
316 | 7799.95368 | 0.00100 | 0.822 | 0.200 | |
317 | 7801.46362 | 0.00099 | 0.707 | 0.100 | |
318 | 7802.97696 | 0.00099 | 0.830 | 0.280 | |
319 | 7804.48723 | 0.00065 | 0.783 | 0.099 | |
320 | 7805.99725 | 0.00110 | 0.669 | 0.160 | |
322 | 7809.02001 | 0.00063 | 0.988 | 0.120 | |
323 | 7810.52858 | 0.00059 | 0.809 | 0.120 | |
325 | 7813.55299 | 0.00079 | 0.866 | 0.130 | |
326 | 7815.06305 | 0.00067 | 0.693 | 0.073 | |
327 | 7816.57407 | 0.00058 | 0.851 | 0.086 | |
c | 189 | 7740.53417 | 0.00083 | 0.589 | 0.091 |
190 | 7742.95370 | 0.00100 | 0.737 | 0.091 | |
191 | 7745.37836 | 0.00200 | 0.656 | 0.150 | |
192 | 7747.79745 | 0.00100 | 0.864 | 0.150 | |
193 | 7750.21906 | 0.00092 | 0.699 | 0.065 | |
194 | 7752.64173 | 0.00100 | 0.652 | 0.079 | |
196 | 7757.48363 | 0.00150 | 0.770 | 0.160 | |
197 | 7759.90355 | 0.00081 | 0.552 | 0.077 | |
198 | 7762.32917 | 0.00098 | 0.697 | 0.100 | |
199 | 7764.74926 | 0.00120 | 0.818 | 0.120 | |
200 | 7767.17041 | 0.00120 | 0.791 | 0.160 | |
201 | 7769.59305 | 0.00082 | 0.579 | 0.090 | |
202 | 7772.01577 | 0.00110 | 0.846 | 0.081 | |
203 | 7774.43531 | 0.00084 | 0.732 | 0.090 | |
204 | 7776.85884 | 0.00084 | 0.789 | 0.130 | |
205 | 7779.27985 | 0.00150 | 0.713 | 0.110 | |
206 | 7781.70135 | 0.00081 | 0.785 | 0.081 | |
207 | 7784.12337 | 0.00080 | 0.837 | 0.100 | |
210 | 7791.38904 | 0.00080 | 0.588 | 0.086 | |
211 | 7793.81167 | 0.00085 | 0.674 | 0.082 | |
212 | 7796.23257 | 0.00072 | 0.771 | 0.085 | |
213 | 7798.65449 | 0.00110 | 0.798 | 0.140 | |
214 | 7801.07700 | 0.00084 | 0.771 | 0.140 | |
215 | 7803.49803 | 0.00100 | 0.604 | 0.090 | |
216 | 7805.91971 | 0.00068 | 0.686 | 0.080 | |
217 | 7808.34120 | 0.00120 | 0.797 | 0.120 | |
218 | 7810.76238 | 0.00210 | 0.809 | 0.400 | |
219 | 7813.18452 | 0.00110 | 0.663 | 0.071 | |
220 | 7815.60631 | 0.00070 | 0.856 | 0.074 | |
d | 17 | 7738.99254 | 0.00400 | 0.286 | 0.110 |
18 | 7743.03818 | 0.00120 | 0.564 | 0.092 | |
20 | 7751.14013 | 0.00180 | 0.468 | 0.100 | |
21 | 7755.18855 | 0.00140 | 0.537 | 0.120 | |
22 | 7759.24739 | 0.00180 | 0.461 | 0.073 | |
23 | 7763.28944 | 0.00130 | 0.419 | 0.062 | |
24 | 7767.34079 | 0.00330 | 0.318 | 0.130 | |
25 | 7771.39074 | 0.00420 | 0.453 | 0.120 | |
26 | 7775.44035 | 0.00180 | 0.466 | 0.090 | |
27 | 7779.48982 | 0.00320 | 0.603 | 0.240 | |
30 | 7791.64154 | 0.00098 | 0.570 | 0.076 | |
34 | 7807.84073 | 0.00570 | 0.304 | 0.130 | |
35 | 7811.88917 | 0.00460 | 0.412 | 0.210 | |
36 | 7815.94153 | 0.00170 | 0.361 | 0.110 | |
e | 13 | 7739.67183 | 0.00160 | 0.509 | 0.100 |
14 | 7745.77293 | 0.00180 | 0.514 | 0.110 | |
16 | 7757.96796 | 0.00310 | 0.587 | 0.110 | |
17 | 7764.07021 | 0.00150 | 0.521 | 0.120 | |
18 | 7770.17149 | 0.00240 | 0.447 | 0.130 | |
19 | 7776.26457 | 0.00190 | 0.383 | 0.075 | |
20 | 7782.36274 | 0.00190 | 0.430 | 0.070 | |
22 | 7794.56245 | 0.00180 | 0.599 | 0.089 | |
f | 8 | 7745.03067 | 0.00210 | 0.613 | 0.160 |
9 | 7754.23474 | 0.00140 | 0.653 | 0.110 | |
10 | 7763.44545 | 0.00240 | 0.651 | 0.130 | |
11 | 7772.64854 | 0.00180 | 0.461 | 0.061 | |
14 | 7800.27394 | 0.00220 | 0.524 | 0.120 | |
15 | 7809.47737 | 0.00270 | 0.494 | 0.090 | |
g | 8 | 7764.19229 | 0.00180 | 0.559 | 0.071 |
11 | 7801.25085 | 0.00120 | 0.727 | 0.100 | |
12 | 7813.60698 | 0.00200 | 0.867 | 0.170 | |
h | 5 | 7756.38806 | 0.00300 | 0.346 | 0.058 |
Note. Each row represents a transit, the first column gives the planet's name, the second column gives the epoch of the transit, the third column gives the mid-transit timing and the corresponding error resulting from the analysis, and the last column gives the transit depth and corresponding error resulting from the analysis.
Table 8. Transit Timings and Depths Obtained from the Individual Analyses of LT Light Curves
Planet | Epoch | Transit Timing ] | Transit Depth (%) | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
b | 386 | 7905.71514 | 0.00088 | 0.848 | 0.130 |
421 | 7958.59599 | 0.00038 | 0.696 | 0.062 | |
425 | 7964.63878 | 0.00043 | 0.830 | 0.063 | |
429 | 7970.68530 | 0.00051 | 0.706 | 0.063 | |
c | 270 | 7936.69651 | 0.00040 | 0.721 | 0.053 |
298 | 8004.50488 | 0.00052 | 0.879 | 0.058 | |
303 | 8016.61384 | 0.00087 | 0.612 | 0.090 | |
319 | 8055.36295 | 0.00044 | 0.765 | 0.059 | |
284 | 7970.60046 | 0.00085 | 0.638 | 0.070 | |
d | 86 | 8018.43071 | 0.00096 | 0.353 | 0.027 |
e | 53 | 7983.62882 | 0.00140 | 0.481 | 0.075 |
56 | 8032.43398 | 0.00180 | 0.475 | 0.100 | |
h | 17 | 7981.63343 | 0.00110 | 0.257 | 0.035 |
Note. Each row represents a transit, the first column gives the planet's name, the second column gives the epoch of the transit, the third column gives the mid-transit timing and the corresponding error resulting from the analysis, and the last column gives the transit depth and corresponding error resulting from the analysis.
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2.2.2. Global Analyses
Our next step was to perform, for each planet and for each data set (K2, SSO, and LT), a global analysis of all transit light curves, to better separate the actual transit signals from the correlated noise of similar frequencies, and thus to improve the accuracies of the derived transit depths.
These global analyses were done in two steps. First, for each planet and each instrument (K2, SSO, and LT), a general global analysis of all the transits with common transit shape parameters was performed, followed by a global analysis allowing for transit depth variations.
We used the same priors on the stellar parameters as reported in Section 2.2.1. However, in this global analysis, we set a transit timing variation (TTV) as a jump parameter for each transit, fixing the planetary periods P and reference transit timings T0 to those reported in Delrez et al. (2018). This global analysis includes 6 shared parameters across transits (the stellar parameters M*, Teff, R*, [Fe/H] + limb-darkening coefficients): for each planet the individual parameters are df and b, and have the same number of TTVs as transits.
For each transit, we assumed the baseline model derived from the individual analysis, following the same procedure to rescale the photometric error bars, and derived our parameter estimates from the posterior distributions obtained from two Markov chains of 100,000 steps, with a 25% burn-in phase, whose convergence was checked using the Gelman & Rubin (1992) test. The transit depths obtained for each data set are displayed in Table 9.
Table 9. Transit Depths Derived from the Global Analysis of All Transits of Each Planet
Planet | dFK2 (%) | dFSSO (%) | dFLT(%) |
---|---|---|---|
TRAPPIST-1 b | 0.721 ± 0.021 | 0.760 ± 0.025 | 0.746 ± 0.036 |
TRAPPIST-1 c | 0.684 ± 0.019 | 0.736 ± 0.029 | 0.724 ± 0.027 |
TRAPPIST-1 d | 0.412 ± 0.028 | 0.354 ± 0.027 | 0.301 ± 0.071 |
TRAPPIST-1 e | 0.449 ± 0.034 | 0.453 ± 0.025 | 0.475 ± 0.054 |
TRAPPIST-1 f | 0.541 ± 0.034 | 0.672 ± 0.052 | / |
TRAPPIST-1 g | 0.668 ± 0.070 | 0.755 ± 0.035 | / |
TRAPPIST-1 h | 0.347 ± 0.058 | 0.321 ± 0.036 | 0.257 ± 0.035 |
Note. Observations from K2, SSO, and LT were processed independently.
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In a second step, we performed similar global MCMC analyses, but this time with the depths of all individual transits as jump parameters for all three instruments (K2, SSO, and LT). The aim here was to benefit from the constraint brought by the common transit shape (duration, impact parameter) to derive more accurate individual transit depths, and thus to better assess their potential variability. This time the analysis includes four shared parameters across transits (the stellar parameters M*, Teff, R*, [Fe/H]): for each planet there are as many individual transit depths as there are transits plus the impact parameter (limb-darkening coefficients are fixed), and the same number of TTVs as transits.
Tables 10–12 present our measured transit depths as deduced from our global analyses of SSO, K2, and LT transits, respectively. Their temporal evolution is shown for each planet in Figure 1 (we did not plot Liverpool data because of the small number of light curves, but the values can be found in Table 12). For further comparison, these figures also display the medians of the global MCMC posterior probability distribution functions (PDFs) as measured with Spitzer at 4.5 μm by Delrez et al. (2018), and also the PDF derived from the MCMC analyses assuming common transit depths.
Table 10. Median Values and 1σ Limits of the Posterior PDFs Deduced for the Timings and Depths from Their Global Analyses for SPECULOOS Observations
Planet | Epoch | Transit Timing ] | Transit Depth (%) | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
b | 398 | 7923.84588 | 0.00043 | 0.744 | 0.053 |
406 | 7935.93286 | 0.00023 | 0.882 | 0.040 | |
406 | 7935.93286 | 0.00023 | 0.904 | 0.084 | |
427 | 7967.66246 | 0.00054 | 0.706 | 0.090 | |
431 | 7973.70578 | 0.00053 | 0.756 | 0.066 | |
435 | 7979.74887 | 0.00022 | 0.852 | 0.052 | |
435 | 7979.74887 | 0.00022 | 0.763 | 0.044 | |
439 | 7985.79210 | 0.00031 | 0.737 | 0.047 | |
443 | 7991.83581 | 0.00042 | 0.864 | 0.073 | |
460 | 8017.52101 | 0.00061 | 0.758 | 0.072 | |
472 | 8035.65154 | 0.00062 | 0.773 | 0.073 | |
480 | 8047.73785 | 0.00061 | 0.788 | 0.065 | |
462 | 8020.54220 | 0.0004 | 0.698 | 0.120 | |
507 | 8088.53214 | 0.00022 | 0.809 | 0.051 | |
507 | 8088.53214 | 0.00022 | 0.932 | 0.054 | |
509 | 8091.55387 | 0.00026 | 0.895 | 0.059 | |
509 | 8091.55387 | 0.00026 | 0.848 | 0.041 | |
511 | 8094.57599 | 0.00059 | 0.82 | 0.110 | |
445 | 7994.85799 | 0.00055 | 0.735 | 0.073 | |
445 | 7994.85799 | 0.00055 | 0.784 | 0.078 | |
c | 294 | 7994.81840 | 0.00034 | 0.792 | 0.069 |
294 | 7994.81840 | 0.00034 | 0.684 | 0.078 | |
301 | 8011.77116 | 0.00029 | 0.800 | 0.072 | |
301 | 8011.77116 | 0.00029 | 0.904 | 0.076 | |
310 | 8033.56743 | 0.00038 | 0.816 | 0.061 | |
315 | 8045.67601 | 0.00034 | 0.73 | 0.050 | |
329 | 8079.58130 | 0.00030 | 0.634 | 0.046 | |
329 | 8079.58130 | 0.00030 | 0.67 | 0.044 | |
336 | 8096.53332 | 0.00030 | 0.813 | 0.046 | |
336 | 8096.53332 | 0.00030 | 0.818 | 0.056 | |
322 | 8062.62799 | 0.00037 | 0.727 | 0.051 | |
d | 72 | 7961.73774 | 0.00130 | 0.398 | 0.061 |
74 | 7969.83692 | 0.00070 | 0.266 | 0.044 | |
74 | 7969.83692 | 0.00070 | 0.376 | 0.053 | |
75 | 7973.88758 | 0.00150 | 0.372 | 0.059 | |
90 | 8034.62829 | 0.00069 | 0.409 | 0.050 | |
e | 45 | 7934.83078 | 0.00065 | 0.406 | 0.048 |
45 | 7934.83078 | 0.00065 | 0.421 | 0.038 | |
46 | 7940.92999 | 0.00069 | 0.540 | 0.050 | |
46 | 7940.92999 | 0.00069 | 0.471 | 0.057 | |
53 | 7983.62772 | 0.00086 | 0.518 | 0.047 | |
53 | 7983.62772 | 0.00086 | 0.553 | 0.070 | |
54 | 7989.72944 | 0.00075 | 0.446 | 0.061 | |
54 | 7989.72944 | 0.00075 | 0.463 | 0.049 | |
f | 35 | 7993.63412 | 0.00084 | 0.732 | 0.071 |
40 | 8039.66014 | 0.00091 | 0.653 | 0.055 | |
g | 21 | 7924.76918 | 0.00140 | 0.810 | 0.092 |
24 | 7961.82610 | 0.00053 | 0.723 | 0.036 | |
29 | 8060.65579 | 0.00047 | 0.758 | 0.036 | |
h | 16 | 7962.86307 | 0.0016 | 0.377 | 0.050 |
17 | 7981.63147 | 0.0012 | 0.291 | 0.044 | |
17 | 7981.63147 | 0.0012 | 0.316 | 0.057 |
Note. Each row represents a transit, the first column gives the planet's name, the second column gives the epoch of the transit, the third column gibes the mid-transit timing and the corresponding error resulting from the analysis, and the last column gives the transit depth and corresponding error resulting from the analysis.
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Table 11. Median Values and 1σ Limits of the Posterior PDFs Deduced for the Timings and Depths from Their Global Analyses for K2 Observations
Planet | Epoch | Transit Timing ] | Transit Depth (%) | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
b | 277 | 7741.02854 | 0.00088 | 0.883 | 0.16 |
278 | 7742.54031 | 0.00100 | 0.755 | 0.130 | |
279 | 7744.05189 | 0.00060 | 0.707 | 0.069 | |
280 | 7745.56251 | 0.00069 | 0.710 | 0.069 | |
282 | 7748.58503 | 0.00073 | 0.725 | 0.082 | |
283 | 7750.09517 | 0.00130 | 0.759 | 0.082 | |
284 | 7751.60547 | 0.00093 | 0.733 | 0.099 | |
285 | 7753.11697 | 0.00093 | 0.702 | 0.095 | |
286 | 7754.62839 | 0.00068 | 0.704 | 0.081 | |
287 | 7756.13946 | 0.00095 | 0.748 | 0.120 | |
288 | 7757.64914 | 0.00096 | 0.787 | 0.130 | |
289 | 7759.16115 | 0.00095 | 0.678 | 0.071 | |
290 | 7760.67223 | 0.00092 | 0.729 | 0.084 | |
291 | 7762.18186 | 0.00067 | 0.798 | 0.098 | |
292 | 7763.69279 | 0.00130 | 0.737 | 0.130 | |
293 | 7765.20350 | 0.00056 | 0.848 | 0.082 | |
294 | 7766.71535 | 0.00058 | 0.754 | 0.074 | |
295 | 7768.22554 | 0.00086 | 0.772 | 0.093 | |
297 | 7771.24824 | 0.00150 | 0.634 | 0.110 | |
298 | 7772.75842 | 0.00120 | 0.628 | 0.110 | |
299 | 7774.26926 | 0.00093 | 0.862 | 0.097 | |
300 | 7775.78035 | 0.00099 | 0.699 | 0.110 | |
301 | 7777.28988 | 0.00067 | 0.679 | 0.081 | |
302 | 7778.80210 | 0.00086 | 0.637 | 0.072 | |
303 | 7780.31392 | 0.00089 | 0.763 | 0.099 | |
305 | 7783.33449 | 0.00099 | 0.590 | 0.078 | |
306 | 7784.84429 | 0.00200 | 0.487 | 0.096 | |
311 | 7792.40048 | 0.00060 | 0.784 | 0.090 | |
313 | 7795.42063 | 0.00095 | 0.829 | 0.120 | |
314 | 7796.93209 | 0.00087 | 0.753 | 0.110 | |
315 | 7798.44265 | 0.00078 | 0.799 | 0.098 | |
316 | 7799.95390 | 0.00090 | 0.758 | 0.110 | |
317 | 7801.46367 | 0.00093 | 0.702 | 0.095 | |
319 | 7804.48731 | 0.00062 | 0.749 | 0.076 | |
320 | 7805.99734 | 0.00120 | 0.623 | 0.110 | |
322 | 7809.01987 | 0.00050 | 0.950 | 0.080 | |
323 | 7810.52885 | 0.00070 | 0.718 | 0.072 | |
325 | 7813.55233 | 0.00087 | 0.767 | 0.091 | |
326 | 7815.06311 | 0.00069 | 0.696 | 0.070 | |
327 | 7816.57415 | 0.00014 | 0.825 | 0.170 | |
c | 189 | 7740.53434 | 0.00071 | 0.572 | 0.057 |
190 | 7742.95387 | 0.00096 | 0.711 | 0.085 | |
191 | 7745.37552 | 0.00130 | 0.602 | 0.079 | |
192 | 7747.79788 | 0.00100 | 0.772 | 0.099 | |
193 | 7750.21885 | 0.00077 | 0.685 | 0.058 | |
194 | 7752.64222 | 0.00130 | 0.620 | 0.069 | |
196 | 7757.48369 | 0.00120 | 0.713 | 0.110 | |
197 | 7759.90363 | 0.00091 | 0.542 | 0.087 | |
198 | 7762.32938 | 0.00099 | 0.662 | 0.091 | |
199 | 7764.74912 | 0.00160 | 0.736 | 0.096 | |
200 | 7767.17049 | 0.00110 | 0.741 | 0.076 | |
201 | 7769.59284 | 0.00079 | 0.549 | 0.075 | |
202 | 7772.01581 | 0.01000 | 0.823 | 0.072 | |
203 | 7774.43569 | 0.00092 | 0.681 | 0.068 | |
204 | 7776.85852 | 0.00081 | 0.715 | 0.060 | |
205 | 7779.27989 | 0.00120 | 0.674 | 0.090 | |
206 | 7781.70123 | 0.00058 | 0.768 | 0.060 | |
207 | 7784.12346 | 0.00092 | 0.795 | 0.089 | |
210 | 7791.38893 | 0.00084 | 0.589 | 0.081 | |
211 | 7793.81172 | 0.00086 | 0.657 | 0.081 | |
212 | 7796.23247 | 0.00074 | 0.746 | 0.078 | |
214 | 7801.07714 | 0.00150 | 0.734 | 0.120 | |
215 | 7803.49838 | 0.00085 | 0.624 | 0.078 | |
216 | 7805.91962 | 0.00110 | 0.606 | 0.110 | |
217 | 7808.34096 | 0.00140 | 0.744 | 0.082 | |
219 | 7813.18461 | 0.00096 | 0.641 | 0.065 | |
220 | 7815.60652 | 0.00072 | 0.825 | 0.064 | |
d | 17 | 7738.99218 | 0.00230 | 0.258 | 0.065 |
18 | 7743.03815 | 0.00087 | 0.562 | 0.091 | |
20 | 7751.14085 | 0.00230 | 0.434 | 0.079 | |
21 | 7755.18922 | 0.00130 | 0.428 | 0.072 | |
22 | 7759.24736 | 0.00210 | 0.441 | 0.070 | |
23 | 7763.28937 | 0.00140 | 0.408 | 0.065 | |
24 | 7767.33969 | 0.00260 | 0.283 | 0.070 | |
26 | 7775.44044 | 0.00160 | 0.454 | 0.082 | |
30 | 7791.64168 | 0.00088 | 0.549 | 0.062 | |
36 | 7815.94088 | 0.00260 | 0.289 | 0.070 | |
e | 13 | 7739.67188 | 0.00610 | 0.478 | 0.089 |
14 | 7745.77245 | 0.00430 | 0.473 | 0.072 | |
16 | 7757.96794 | 0.00340 | 0.572 | 0.120 | |
17 | 7764.06998 | 0.00120 | 0.477 | 0.077 | |
18 | 7770.17137 | 0.00270 | 0.413 | 0.071 | |
19 | 7776.26467 | 0.00190 | 0.365 | 0.063 | |
20 | 7782.36298 | 0.00170 | 0.414 | 0.059 | |
22 | 7794.56266 | 0.00210 | 0.587 | 0.092 | |
f | 8 | 7745.03110 | 0.00230 | 0.567 | 0.090 |
9 | 7754.23467 | 0.00160 | 0.603 | 0.069 | |
10 | 7763.44538 | 0.00200 | 0.636 | 0.100 | |
11 | 7772.64872 | 0.00220 | 0.456 | 0.070 | |
14 | 7800.27402 | 0.00230 | 0.494 | 0.088 | |
15 | 7809.47707 | 0.00170 | 0.484 | 0.064 | |
g | 8 | 7764.19196 | 0.00160 | 0.567 | 0.068 |
11 | 7801.25070 | 0.00120 | 0.707 | 0.087 | |
12 | 7813.60635 | 0.00140 | 0.728 | 0.100 | |
h | 5 | 7756.38806 | 0.00300 | 0.346 | 0.058 |
Note. Each row represents a transit, the first column gives the planet's name, the second column gives the epoch of the transit, the third column gives the mid-transit timing and the corresponding error resulting from the analysis, and the last column gives the transit depth and corresponding error resulting from the analysis.
Table 12. Median Values and 1σ Limits of the Posterior PDFs Deduced for the Timings and Depths from Their Global Analyses for Liverpool Telescope Observations
Planet | Epoch | Transit Timing ] | Transit Depth (%) | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
b | 386 | 7905.71519 | 0.00088 | 0.834 | 0.120 |
421 | 7958.59605 | 0.00036 | 0.687 | 0.061 | |
425 | 7964.63885 | 0.00044 | 0.838 | 0.053 | |
429 | 7970.68541 | 0.00041 | 0.707 | 0.062 | |
c | 270 | 7936.69651 | 0.00035 | 0.723 | 0.047 |
298 | 8004.50488 | 0.00053 | 0.853 | 0.054 | |
303 | 8016.61367 | 0.00068 | 0.605 | 0.084 | |
319 | 8055.36297 | 0.00047 | 0.764 | 0.066 | |
284 | 7970.60044 | 0.00088 | 0.641 | 0.070 | |
d | 86 | 8018.43071 | 0.00096 | 0.353 | 0.027 |
e | 53 | 7983.62906 | 0.00130 | 0.476 | 0.069 |
56 | 8032.43405 | 0.00190 | 0.478 | 0.100 | |
h | 17 | 7981.63343 | 0.00110 | 0.257 | 0.035 |
Note. Each row represents a transit, the first column gives the planet's name, the second column gives the epoch of the transit, the third column gives the mid-transit timing and the corresponding error resulting from the analysis, and the last column gives the transit depth and corresponding error resulting from the analysis.
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We compared the results obtained from the individual and global analyses of the transits and found them to be fully consistent. Accurately constraining of the transit shape through a global analysis slightly improves the errors on the depths or timings for some transits, while others have larger errors due to the clearer separation between signal and red noise. For this reason, we adopt the results of our global analyses as our final ones.
3. Results and Discussion
3.1. Temporal Evolution of the Transit Depths
Changes in the transit depths measured for a planet in a given bandpass could result from the evolution of stellar heterogeneities on or outside the chord transited by the planet. Figure 1 shows the evolution of the transit depths derived from our global analyses of K2 and SSO light curves. These analyses assumed a common transit profile—except for the depths—for each planet and each instrument to better separate the correlated noise from the transit signals and thus guarantee robust results on the transit depths. From those results, we noticed that for all planets the depths are consistent from one transit to another, with no discrepancy larger than 3σ. We computed the standard deviation of the measurements and compared it to the mean value of the measurement errors for each data set; the values are presented in Table 13.
Table 13. Standard Deviation and Mean Errors of the Measured Transit Depths for All Data Sets
Telescope | Planet | # Transits | σ | Mean Error |
---|---|---|---|---|
(%) | (%) | |||
K2 | −1b | 40 | 0.084 | 0.14 |
−1c | 27 | 0.080 | 0.081 | |
−1d | 10 | 0.11 | 0.073 | |
−1e | 8 | 0.077 | 0.080 | |
−1f | 6 | 0.072 | 0.080 | |
−1g | 3 | 0.087 | 0.085 | |
−1h | 1 | / | / | |
SPECULOOS | −1b | 20 | 0.069 | 0.067 |
−1c | 11 | 0.080 | 0.059 | |
−1d | 5 | 0.057 | 0.053 | |
−1e | 8 | 0.055 | 0.053 | |
−1f | 2 | 0.055 | 0.063 | |
−1g | 3 | 0.044 | 0.055 | |
−1h | 3 | 0.044 | 0.047 | |
Liverpool | −1b | 3 | 0.087 | 0.081 |
−1c | 4 | 0.102 | 0.062 | |
−1e | 2 | 0.087 | 0.081 |
Note. There are no values for planet h with K2 nor planets d, g, h with the Liverpool telescope because we had only one light curve for each of those planets.
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We found that the standard deviation is consistent with the mean of the measurements errors for most of the planet/instrument associations. The exceptions are planet c (SSO, LT) and planet d (K2), where the dispersion of the measurements is actually larger than the mean errors. These mild discrepancies could be genuine, but they could also originate from small-number statistics. Indeed, only 4 transits are used to compute the statistics for LT, 11 transits are used for SSO for planet c, and 10 transits are used for planet d.
Looking at the few transits that were observed simultaneously with Spitzer (values from Delrez et al. 2018) and K2 (see Table 7) on one hand and with SPECULOOS (see Table 6) and LT (see Table 8) on the other hand, we see that the transit depth values are in agreement with one another (see Table 14), with K2 error bars being significantly larger than Spitzer error bars. For certain transits, the value derived from K2 is larger than the one derived from Spitzer, while for others it is the opposite. We can conclude on the transit observed simultaneously by SPECULOOS and the Liverpool telescope, as it is unique.
Table 14. Depths of Transits Observed Simultaneously by K2 and Spitzer and SPECULOOS and the Liverpool Telescope.
Planet | Epoch | K2 | Spitzer |
---|---|---|---|
−1b | 318 | 0.830 ± 0.120 | 0.751 ± 0.027 |
320 | 0.669 ± 0.160 | 0.699 ± 0.023 | |
321 | 0.988 ± 0.120 | 0.801 ± 0.028 | |
325 | 0.866 ± 0.130 | 0.732 ± 0.022 | |
326 | 0.693 ± 0.073 | 0.724 ± 0.023 | |
327 | 0.851 ± 0.086 | 0.663 ± 0.021 | |
−1c | 215 | 0.604 ± 0.090 | 0.672 ± 0.025 |
216 | 0.686 ± 0.080 | 0.652 ± 0.020 | |
217 | 0.797 ± 0.120 | 0.735 ± 0.035 | |
218 | 0.809 ± 0.400 | 0.674 ± 0.029 | |
219 | 0.663 ± 0.071 | 0.668 ± 0.024 | |
220 | 0.830 ± 0.120 | 0.725 ± 0.024 | |
−1d | 34 | 0.304 ± 0.130 | 0.384 ± 0.020 |
35 | 0.412 ± 0.210 | 0.382 ± 0.024 | |
36 | 0.361 ± 0.110 | 0.348 ± 0.019 | |
−1f | 15 | 0.494 ± 0.090 | 0.648 ± 0.025 |
−1g | 12 | 0.867 ± 0.170 | 0.777 ± 0.020 |
Planet | Epoch | SPECULOOS | Liverpool |
−1e | 53 | 0.522 ± 0.055 | 0.476 ± 0.069 |
0.590 ± 0.057 | |||
−1h | 17 | 0.316 ± 0.057 | 0.257 ± 0.035 |
0.291 ± 0.044 |
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3.2. Transmission Spectra of the TRAPPIST-1 Planets
Combining the results of our analyses to the ones presented by Delrez et al. (2018) for Spitzer measurements and by de Wit et al. (2018) for HST/WFC3 measurements, we construct the broadband 0.8–4.5 μm transit transmission spectra of TRAPPIST-1 planets (Figure 2).
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Standard image High-resolution imageWe first note that although the measurements obtained with the HST data do not show features over the WCF3 band (1.1–1.7 μm), the transit depths are significantly deeper than those obtained at other wavelengths for planets b and d. Although this is intriguing, these deeper transits could very well have an instrumental origin. Indeed, as HST is on a low-Earth orbit, it can monitor TRAPPIST-1 for an average of ∼50 minutes per orbit out of the ∼95 minute orbital duration. The observation of a transit during an HST visit is typically based on 4 or 5 orbits. Due to the small transit durations of the TRAPPIST-1 planets, only one window per visit covers a transit. Yet, although the transit durations of TRAPPIST-1 planets are short, they have roughly the same duration of HST's observation window, leading to a small (and at times negligible) constraint on the baseline level from the in-transit orbit. As HST/WFC3 spectrophotometric observations are affected by orbit-dependent systematic effects, such a limited constraint on the baseline level from the orbit constraining the transit depth can result in a diluted or amplified monochromatic transit depth. The current measurements are particularly limited in such joint "transit depth—baseline level" measurements for planet b (see Figure 1 of de Wit et al. 2016) and planet d (see Figure 1 of de Wit et al. 2018)—and reduced for planets c and e—which is consistent with the level of discrepancies seen in Figure 2. We also note that the transit depth measured for planet f at 0.6 μm (K2) is ∼3σ shallower than the mean of the other measurements. This measurement could be explained by its low statistical significance (only 6 transits) or by the detrending of K2 systematic effects and significant stellar variability applied to the light curve before its modeling (see Section 2.1). Nevertheless, there seem to be no significant biases from detrending in the other planet measurements so we would prefer to wait for analyses of additional transits of planet f in this bandpass to confirm or discard this value. For the other planets, no significant chromatic variation is observed. We note that an argument against a stellar contamination origin of the structure visible in the transit spectra of planets b, d, and f, is the absence of similar structures for planets with similar transit impact parameters, i.e., transiting nearly the same chords of the stellar disk.
Figure 3 shows the detrended period-folded photometry measured for each planet observed by K2 and SPECULOOS, as well as the corresponding best-fit transit model. A visual inspection of all individual transit light curves did not reveal such crossing events either.
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Standard image High-resolution image3.3. Confrontation with the Stellar Contamination Model of Z18
The strong stellar contamination inferred for TRAPPIST-1 planets by Z18 is based on the model presented by Rackham et al. (2017), which assumes a heterogeneous photosphere composed of unocculted spots and faculae, and is described by the equation
in which is the ratio of the observed transit depth by the nominal transit depth Dλ (i.e., the square of the true wavelength-dependent planet-to-star radius ratio) and represents the stellar contamination at wavelength λ; Fλ,phot, Fλ,spot and Fλ,fac refer to the flux of the mean photosphere, spots, and faculae, respectively; and fspot and ffac refer to the unocculted spot- and faculae- covering fractions (Rackham et al. 2018).
The contamination spectrum was then multiplied with an assumed wavelength-independent nominal planetary transit depth by Z18 to obtain a transit spectrum whose wavelength dependence is only due to the stellar contamination. Ultimately, they fitted the percentages of spots and faculae covering fractions, as well as their temperatures and that of the mean photosphere, to represent at best the transit spectra of the TRAPPIST-1 planets that they measured from the HST/WFC3 presented in de Wit et al. (2016, 2018). The authors chose to combine spectra of several planets, justifying their choice by the improved signal-to-noise ratio in detecting common spectral features. To enable a straightforward comparison with the Z18 results, we added our measured transit depths of different planets to obtain the same combinations used by Z18.
The transit depth values obtained from our global analysis of K2, SSO, and LT transits, plus the values measured at 4.5 μm with Spitzer by Delrez et al. (2018), and at 1.1–1.7 μm with HST/WFC3 by de Wit et al. (2016) are displayed in Figure 4 for the combination of planets b and c and Figure 5 for b+c+d+e+f+g, superimposed with the best-fit stellar contamination model of Z18. Table 15 gathers the results for those two combinations, as well as the other combination used in Z18 (d+e+f+g).
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Standard image High-resolution imageTable 15. Combined Transit Depth Values (in Percent) for b+c, b+c+d+e+f+g, and d+e+f+g, as Predicted from the Best-fit Stellar Contamination Model of Z18, and as Measured from K2, SPECULOOS, HST/WFC3, and Spitzer Observations in Their Effective Bandpasses Relative to an M8 Star Spectrum
Planets | Effective Bandpass (μm) | Z18 (%) | Observations (%) |
---|---|---|---|
b+c | 4.5 | 1.44 ± 0.03 | 1.424 ± 0.008 |
1.6 | 1.54 ± 0.03 | 1.539 ± 0.028 | |
1.55 | 1.52 ± 0.03 | 1.536 ± 0.033 | |
1.5 | 1.49 ± 0.03 | 1.542 ± 0.033 | |
1.45 | 1.45 ± 0.03 | 1.534 ± 0.040 | |
1.4 | 1.42 ± 0.03 | 1.494 ± 0.037 | |
1.35 | 1.46 ± 0.03 | 1.484 ± 0.034 | |
1.3 | 1.51 ± 0.03 | 1.534 ± 0.035 | |
1.25 | 1.54 ± 0.03 | 1.592 ± 0.033 | |
1.2 | 1.53 ± 0.03 | 1.531 ± 0.028 | |
1.15 | 1.53 ± 0.03 | 1.487 ± 0.039 | |
0.8–1.1 | 1.33 ± 0.03 | 1.470 ± 0.032 | |
0.73–1.1 | 1.27 ± 0.03 | 1.490 ± 0.027 | |
0.55–0.9 | 0.94 ± 0.03 | 1.400 ± 0.020 | |
b+c+d+e+f+g | 4.5 | 3.55 ± 0.06 | 3.646 ± 0.009 |
1.63 | 3.91 ± 0.06 | 3.885 ± 0.027 | |
1.58 | 3.72 ± 0.06 | 3.873 ± 0.032 | |
1.53 | 3.75 ± 0.06 | 3.793 ± 0.032 | |
1.48 | 3.78 ± 0.06 | 3.824 ± 0.032 | |
1.43 | 3.47 ± 0.06 | 3.750 ± 0.035 | |
1.38 | 3.79 ± 0.06 | 3.759 ± 0.033 | |
1.33 | 3.86 ± 0.06 | 3.858 ± 0.038 | |
1.28 | 3.89 ± 0.06 | 3.895 ± 0.03 | |
1.23 | 3.89 ± 0.06 | 3.834 ± 0.029 | |
1.18 | 3.88 ± 0.06 | 3.771 ± 0.033 | |
0.8-1.1 | / | / | |
0.73–1.1 | 3.34 ± 0.06 | 4.370 ± 0.049 | |
0.55–0.9 | 2.62 ± 0.06 | 3.474 ± 0.038 | |
d+e+f+g | 4.5 | 2.19 ± 0.05 | 2.222 ± 0.010 |
1.63 | 2.37 ± 0.05 | 2.345 ± 0.023 | |
1.58 | 2.27 ± 0.05 | 2.337 ± 0.027 | |
1.53 | 2.28 ± 0.05 | 2.251 ± 0.027 | |
1.48 | 2.29 ± 0.05 | 2.291 ± 0.025 | |
1.43 | 2.13 ± 0.05 | 2.257 ± 0.029 | |
1.38 | 2.30 ± 0.05 | 2.276 ± 0.028 | |
1.33 | 2.34 ± 0.05 | 2.324 ± 0.033 | |
1.28 | 2.35 ± 0.05 | 2.303 ± 0.025 | |
1.23 | 2.35 ± 0.05 | 2.303 ± 0.026 | |
1.18 | 2.35 ± 0.05 | 2.284 ± 0.027 | |
0.8–1.1 | / | / | |
0.73–1.1 | 2.05 ± 0.05 | 2.233 ± 0.037 | |
0.55–0.9 | 1.66 ± 0.05 | 2.074 ± 0.044 |
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The expected transit depths from the best-fit stellar contamination model of Z18, integrated over the spectral bands of the observations, are reported in Table 15 for the combination of planets b+c, b+c+d+e+f+g, and d+e+f+g, along with the actual measurements. To compute those values, we multiplied the contamination spectrum inferred in Z18 by the maximum combined transit depth for the corresponding combination of planets , measured from HST/WFC3 data by de Wit et al. (2016).
As shown in Figure 4 and Table 15, the dramatic drop of the transit depth in the visible predicted by Z18 model is not observed. As a matter of fact, the Z18 predictions for K2 bandpass are discrepant by more than 10σ from the observations, at ∼6.5σ for SSO, at ∼3.5σ for Liverpool, and at ∼1.4σ for Spitzer. The contamination model inferred by Z18 can thus be firmly discarded. It should also be noted that Z18 attributed an inverted water absorption spectral feature to low-significance variations present in their analysis of the HST measurements. However, in de Wit et al. (2016) data we do not see significant traces of this inverted water absorption feature (see the zoomed-in box in Figure 4).
Finally, in Z18, the sum of the spot and faculae covering fraction approaches 100% with a spot of size Rspot =(1.63 ± 0.50) × 103 km (Rackham et al. 2017), while we know from Delrez et al. (2018) that the chords of transit of the TRAPPIST planets cover at least 56% of a stellar hemisphere. Z18's model should therefore predict a significant number of spot-crossing events with amplitudes of the order of 400 ppm (Rackham et al. 2017). Quantitatively, according to Z18 for T-1b+T-1c we would expect a frequency rate of 18% spot-crossing and 34% of faculae-crossing events. We analyzed all light curves individually, we see comparable variability in and out of transit, at a significantly lower level than expected (maximum 200 ppm), and no asymmetries in the amplitude of the residuals.
While the model of Z18 is discarded by our data, significant stellar contamination of TRAPPIST-1 planets' transmission spectra remains a possibility. Indeed, the star's photosphere is definitely heterogeneous, as its K2 photometry shows a quasi-periodic variability of a couple percent, with a dominant period of 3.3 days that is consistent with the rotation of an evolving inhomogeneous photosphere (Luger et al. 2017), or with the characteristic timescale between flares followed by spot-brightening (Morris et al. 2018, hereafter M18). The photometry of the TRAPPIST telescope (Gillon et al. 2011) also shows variability of similar amplitude, with a dominant period identified to be ∼1.4 days by Gillon et al. (2016). We note that this latter value is close to the alias of 3.3 days, suggesting that the periodogram analysis done by Gillon et al. (2016) did not identify the right period because of the discontinuous sampling of the TRAPPIST observations, or that the variability is only quasi-periodic.
3.4. On the Possible Photospheric Structure of TRAPPIST-1
3.4.1. Giant Cold Spots?
While not stated explicitly, the photospheric model of Z18 considered solar-like spots + faculae, and not giant spots + faculae, as this is the only way for the percentages obtained for the best fit (∼30% of spots and ∼63% of faculae) to agree to a certain extent with the predictions of R18 on which it is based ( of spots and of faculae). At this point, it is worth explaining what is meant by giant spots and solar spots. The "solar spot" model used in R18 relies on small time-steady rotating spots to produce the predicted variability amplitude in transit depth. As the variations in flux cancel out when the spots rotate onto and off of the visible photosphere, a large number of spots are required to reach the predicted transit depth variation, leading to a large, heterogeneous, but nearly time-steady component. Conversely, the "giant spot" model shows large amplitude variability with small covering fraction, as there is no cancellation between spots rotating on and off, and giant spots therefore have a variable component.
If instead of considering solar-type spots + faculae, we consider giants spots + faculae, we see that the prediction from the CPAT (composite photosphere and atmospheric transmission) model of Rackham et al. (2017) on the transit depth variations is much less pessimistic (not more than a 0.7% difference between transit depth at 4.5 μm and at 0.6 μm for an M9V type star, R18, Figure 7). We could thus imagine that the photosphere of TRAPPIST-1 is more likely to host giant spots than solar-like spots. In this case it is worth noting that according to the predictions of R18, for Earth-twin type planets, the stellar heterogeneity does not jeopardize the detection of planetary atmospheric features with JWST anymore. Considering a precision of 30 ppm with JWST, R18 indicates that for a M8V type star like TRAPPIST-1 the depth variations due to atmospheric features should be of the order of 90 ppm, whereas the variations due to stellar heterogeneity should be of the order of ≈17 ppm, consequently allowing detections of planetary features despite stellar contamination.
As discussed above, the TRAPPIST-1 planets cover a significant part of the hemisphere of the star from latitudes up to 30°, latitudes where we find spots on the Sun (Miletskii & Ivanov 2009). The next logical step is to look for giant spot-crossing events in the transits of the TRAPPIST-1 planets. In the observations carried out by Spitzer the in and out of transit variability was more likely attributed to systematic effects or granulation variability (see Delrez et al. 2018). Yet the spot-to-photosphere contrast is wavelength-dependent such that spot-crossing events are not detectable at all wavelengths (see Ballerini et al. 2012). However, our analyses of observations in the visible and near-IR carried out by K2, SPECULOOS and the Liverpool telescope do not show transit depth variability that could have been attributed to stellar spot crossings during transits (see Section 3.1). A possible scenario allows for giant spots consisting of high-latitude spots that never cross the planets' transit chords, in a similar manner as the circumpolar spots observed for young mid-type to late-type M-dwarfs not older than 1 Gyr (see Barnes et al. 2015); this potentially could explain the variability detected in the K2 bandpass. However, TRAPPIST-1 is not a young dwarf, its age having been estimated to be 7.6 ± 2.2 Gyr by Burgasser & Mamajek (2017), and the out-of-transit rotational variability resulting from a giant, dark polar spot does not match the small observed variability of 2 ppm (Delrez et al. 2018) seen in the infrared (Morris et al. 2018). In addition, the giant spot model is disfavored by the correlations between flares and spot-brightening seen in the K2 data set, which indicates that the brightening is not due to spots rotating out of view, but rather due to a temporary brightening of the star that follows each flare event (Morris et al. 2018).
3.4.2. Small Hot Faculae?
In their studies, R18 and Z18 assumed that the active regions of TRAPPIST-1 are qualitatively similar to solar active regions in the spot and facular flux contrasts, and in the relative areas of each component. However, there is abundant evidence that the Sun is a poor analog for the starspot distributions of fully convective stars (Donati et al. 2003; Morin et al. 2008, 2010; Barnes et al. 2015), which are likely driven by a different magnetic dynamo process (Donati 2011; Reiners 2012).
Morris et al. (2018) presented an alternative, empirically driven hypothetical spot distribution for TRAPPIST-1, consisting of a few small, bright (hot) spots. The proposed hot spots, which are correlated with the brightest flares, drive the modulation with a 3.3 day period in the K2 bandpass without generating a corresponding signal in the Spitzer 4.5 μm band, in agreement with the observations.
We predict the effect of the hot spots of Morris et al. (2018) at 4500 K on the transit depths of TRAPPIST-1 b and c in Figure 6. These spots produce a nearly flat contamination spectrum for wavelengths ≳0.7 μm, and modest flux dilution (shallower transit depths) in the K2 bandpass. We find that spots with temperatures up to 4500 K are consistent at ∼2σ with the observed transit depths, excluding the HST data for the reasons discussed above.
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Standard image High-resolution image4. Conclusion
We performed individual and global analyses of 169 transit light curves obtained from space with K2 and from the ground with SSO and LT, as well as the light curves obtained from mid-IR observations with Spitzer and the near-IR with HST/WFC3 to construct the broadband transmission spectra of the TRAPPIST-1 planets over the 0.8–4.5 μm spectral range. While we could not find any significant temporal variability of the transit depths measured by the same instrument, our analysis reveals chromatic structures at the level of only 200–300 ppm in the transit transmission spectra of planets b, d, and f. These results enable us to discard the highly heterogeneous photospheric model presented by Z18 and their subsequent conclusions regarding the potential of JWST to characterize the atmospheric properties of TRAPPIST-1 planets by transit transmission spectroscopy. We identify two possible photospheric structures for TRAPPIST-1 that could agree with our results, one dominated by a few high-latitude giant (cold) spots, which is disfavored for different reasons, and the other by a few small and hot (>4000 K) faculae. Although our measurements do not confirm the conclusions of Z18, they cannot rule out a significant stellar contamination of the planets' transmission spectra. The recent announcement of the delayed launch of JWST gives us the opportunity to investigate further the photospheric structure of TRAPPIST-1—notably through photometric monitoring at different wavelengths—and its impact on the planets' transmission spectra. Furthermore, the JWST delay offers more time for the development of new strategies to optimally disentangle the stellar (contamination) and planetary (transmission) effects.
We thank Jon Marchant and Chris Copperwheat for their kind and frequent help in scheduling use of the Liverpool Telescope. The Liverpool Telescope is operated on the island of La Palma by Liverpool John Moores University in the Spanish Observatorio del Roque de los Muchachos of the Instituto de Astrofisica de Canarias with financial support from the UK Science and Technology Facilities Council.
The research leading to these results has received funding from the European Research Council (ERC) under the FP/2007-2013 ERC grant agreement no. 336480, and under the H2020 ERC grant agreement no. 679030; and from an Actions de Recherche Concertée (ARC) grant, financed by the Wallonia-Brussels Federation. This work was also partially supported by a grant from the Simons Foundation (PI Queloz, grant No. 327127), as well as by the MERAC foundation (PI Triaud). L.D. acknowledges support from the Gruber Foundation Fellowship. V.V.G. and M.G. are F.R.S.-FNRS Research Associates. J.d.W. is grateful for the financial support received for the SPECULOOS Project from the Heising-Simons Foundation, P. Gilman, and C. & L. Masson. E.J. is F.R.S.-FNRS. E.A. acknowledges USA NSF grant 1615315, the Guggenheim Foundation, and the NASA Virtual Planetary Laboratory. Senior Research Associate. B.-O.D. acknowledges support from the Swiss National Science Foundation in the form of a SNSF Professorship (PP00P2_163967). A.J.B. acknowledges funding support from the US-UK Fulbright Scholarship programme.