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Paper The following article is Open access

A Hybrid Chaotic Oscillatory Neural Network (HCONN) Based Financial Time Series Prediction System

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Published under licence by IOP Publishing Ltd
, , Citation Yifu Qiu and Raymond S. T. Lee 2019 IOP Conf. Ser.: Mater. Sci. Eng. 646 012024 DOI 10.1088/1757-899X/646/1/012024

1757-899X/646/1/012024

Abstract

Financial time series prediction is one of the most complex and challenging problems in both AI and finance engineering. In our research, we proposed a Hybrid Chaotic Oscillatory Neural Network (HCONN) model by replacing the traditional sigmoid-based activation function with chaotic oscillatory activation function, which provides significant performance in the global minimum convergence through the application of Adaptive Moment Estimation optimizer. In addition, by integrating the latest R&D on Quantum Finance Theory (QFT) and its Quantum Price Level (QPL) as the deep features' extraction, we add the daily 8 nearest QPLs together with the time series price variables as the input of our HCONN. In terms of system implementation, 12 different forex products including the AUDCHF, AUDUSD, CADCHF, EURAUD, EURCHF, EURGBP, EURUSD, GBPAUD, GBPCAD, GBPUSD, USDCAD and USDCHF are used. System performance results reveal that HCONN outperforms other financial models including: Feedforward Backpropagation Neural Network (FFBPN) and Chaotic Oscillatory Neural Network (CONN) in terms of training performance and forecast accuracy.

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