Abstract
This article studied the theoretical composition of tunnel geological prediction (TGP), put forth the concepts of broad-sense TGP, narrow-sense TGP and comprehensive TGP and established a technical solution of broad-sense TGP on this basis, including three steps: macroscopic prediction of unfavorable geologies in the tunnel area, prediction of unfavorable geological bodies in the tunnel (i.e.: narrow-sense TGP) and alarm on approaching of geological hazards in the tunnel. The article also researched the methods and technical means of short-term geological prediction and long-term geological prediction of narrow-sense TGP and proposed a fault parameter prediction method, a surface geological body projection prediction method and a precursor prediction method of unfavorable geological bodies in the tunnel. In addition, the article also introduced the concept of alarm on approaching of geological hazards in tunnel construction and established a method for alarm on approaching of geological hazards in the tunnel. In the end, the article concluded that the implementation of comprehensive prediction is the most effective means to achieve expected prediction effect and increase prediction accuracy.
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