Iddo I Eliazar and Igor M Sokolov 2010 J. Phys. A: Math. Theor. 43 055001 doi:10.1088/1751-8113/43/5/055001
Iddo I Eliazar1 and Igor M Sokolov2
Show affiliationsMedical surveys regarding the number of heterosexual partners per person yield different female and male averages—a result which, from a physical standpoint, is impossible. In this paper we term this puzzle the 'matchmaking paradox', and establish a statistical model explaining it. We consider a bipartite graph with N male and N female nodes (N
1), and B bonds connecting them (B
1). Each node is associated a random 'attractiveness level', and the bonds connect to the nodes randomly—with probabilities which are proportionate to the nodes' attractiveness levels. The population's average bonds-per-nodes B/N is estimated via a sample average calculated from a survey of size n (n
1). A comprehensive statistical analysis of this model is carried out, asserting that (i) the sample average well estimates the population average if and only if the attractiveness levels possess a finite mean; (ii) if the attractiveness levels are governed by a 'fat-tailed' probability law then the sample average displays wild fluctuations and strong skew—thus providing a statistical explanation to the matchmaking paradox.
87.23.Cc Population dynamics and ecological pattern formation
Issue 5 (5 February 2010)
Received 25 October 2009, in final form 11 December 2009
Published 14 January 2010
Iddo I Eliazar and Igor M Sokolov 2010 J. Phys. A: Math. Theor. 43 055001
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