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What is the current state of scientific knowledge with regard to seasonal and decadal forecasting?

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Published 17 January 2012 Published under licence by IOP Publishing Ltd
, , Focus on Environmental Risks and Migration: Causes and Consequences Citation Doug M Smith et al 2012 Environ. Res. Lett. 7 015602 DOI 10.1088/1748-9326/7/1/015602

1748-9326/7/1/015602

Abstract

Environmental factors, such as the frequency, intensity and duration of extreme weather events, are important drivers of migration and displacement of people. There is therefore a growing need for regional climate predictions for the coming seasons to decades. This paper reviews the current state of the art of seasonal to decadal climate prediction, focusing on the potential sources of skill, forecasting techniques, current capability and future prospects.

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