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Mamizu climate policy: an evaluation of Japanese carbon emissions reduction targets

Roger A Pielke Jr

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This letter evaluates Japan's so-called 'Mamizu' climate policies proposed in mid-2009 in terms of the implied rates of decarbonization of the Japanese economy for short-term and long-term targets. The letter uses the Kaya identity to structure the evaluation, employing both a bottom up approach (based on projections of future Japanese population, economic growth, and technology) and a top down approach (deriving implied rates of decarbonization consistent with the targets and various rates of economic growth). Both approaches indicate that the Japanese economy would have to achieve rates of decarbonization of 2.6% to meet a 2020 target of reducing emissions by 15% below 2005 levels, and 5.0% to meet a 2050 target of an 80% reduction below 2005 levels. A target of 25% below 1990 emissions proposed by the opposition party (which subsequently formed a government following elections in August 2009) implies a rate of decarbonization of 4.6% annually to 2020. The letter argues that international criticism of Japanese Mamizu climate policy proposals as being too weak was unfounded, and if anything, the proposals may have been too ambitious. In either case, climate policy would be strengthened through the support of a diversity of approaches to decarbonization.


 
For more information on this article, see environmentalresearchweb.org
PACS

92.60.Ry Climatology

92.60.hf Tropospheric composition and chemistry, constituent transport and chemistry

92.60.Fm Boundary layer structure and processes

89.60.-k Environmental studies

Subjects

Environmental and Earth science

Dates

Issue 4 (October-December 2009)

Received 28 July 2009, accepted for publication 24 September 2009

Published 8 October 2009


A Corrigendum for this article has been published in 2010 Environ. Res. Lett. 5 019802


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