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Theoretical uncertainties in inflationary predictions

William H Kinney1 and Antonio Riotto2

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With present and future observations becoming of higher and higher quality, it is timely and necessary to investigate the most significant theoretical uncertainties in the predictions of inflation. We show that our ignorance of the entire history of the universe, including the physics of reheating after inflation, translates to considerable errors in observationally relevant parameters. Using the inflationary flow formalism, we estimate that for a spectral index n and tensor/scalar ratio r in the region favoured by current observational constraints, the theoretical errors are of order Δn/|n−1| ~ 0.1–1 and Δr/r ~ 0.1–1. These errors represent the dominant theoretical uncertainties in the predictions of inflation, and are generically of the order of or larger than the projected uncertainties in future precision measurements of the cosmic microwave background. We also show that the lowest order classification of models into small field, large field and hybrid breaks down when higher order corrections to the dynamics are included. Models can flow from one region to another.


Keywords

CMBR experiments

inflation

 

E-print Number: astro-ph/0511127

Cited: by |

Refers: to

PACS

98.80.Cq Particle-theory and field-theory models of the early Universe (including cosmic pancakes, cosmic strings, chaotic phenomena, inflationary universe, etc.)

98.80.Es Observational cosmology (including Hubble constant, distance scale, cosmological constant, early Universe, etc)

Subjects

Gravitation and cosmology

Astrophysics and astroparticles

Dates

Issue 03 (March 2006)

Received 18 November 2005, accepted for publication 28 February 2006

Published 13 March 2006



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