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Asymptotics of rare events in birth–death processes bypassing the exact solutions

Charles R Doering1, Khachik V Sargsyan1, Leonard M Sander2 and Eric Vanden-Eijnden3

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We investigate the near-continuum asymptotics of mean first passage times in some one-variable birth–death processes. The particular problem we address is how to extract mean first passage times in the near-continuum limit from their defining finite-difference equations alone. For the simple class of processes we consider here, exact closed-form solutions for the mean first passage time between any two states are available and the near-continuum expansion of these formulae defines the correct limiting behaviour and is used to check the results of asymptotic analysis of the difference equations. We find that in some cases the asymptotic approach does not lead unequivocally to the proper result.


PACS

87.23.Cc Population dynamics and ecological pattern formation

02.70.Bf Finite-difference methods

Subjects

Computational physics

Environmental and Earth science

Dates

Issue 6 (14 February 2007)

Received 4 September 2006

Published 22 January 2007



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