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Scale-dependent price fluctuations for the Indian stock market

K. Matia1, M. Pal2, H. Salunkay3 and H. E. Stanley1

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Classic studies of the probability density of price fluctuations g for stocks and foreign exchanges of several highly developed economies have been interpreted using a power law probability density function P(g) ~ g−(α + 1) with exponent values α > 2. To test the ubiquity of this relationship we analyze daily returns for the period November 1994–June 2002 for the 49 largest stocks of the National Stock Exchange which has the highest trade volume in India. We find the surprising result that P(g) decays as an exponential function P(g) ~ exp [ − βg] with a characteristic decay scale β = 1.51 ± 0.05 for the negative tail and β = 1.34 ± 0.04 for the positive tail. The exponential function is significantly different from the power law function observed for highly developed economies. Thus, we conclude that the stock market of the less highly developed economy of India belongs to a different class from that of highly developed countries.


PACS

05.40.Fb Random walks and Levy flights

05.45.Tp Time series analysis

89.90.+n Other topics in areas of applied and interdisciplinary physics (restricted to new topics in section 89)

Subjects

Statistical physics and nonlinear systems

Dates

Issue 6 (June 2004)

Received 12 November 2003, accepted for publication 19 April 2004, in final form 19 April 2004



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